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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
Larisa
T S U S U
0–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Super League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 18%
16%
19%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
34%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
44%
41%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
5 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Larisa 15. · OFI Crete 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 34 27 5 2 +59 86
2 PAOK 34 17 10 7 +25 61
3 AEK 34 18 7 9 +11 61
4 Aris Thessalonikis 31 17 6 8 +17 57
5 Aris 31 17 6 8 +17 57
6 Panathinaikos 34 15 8 11 +10 53
7 Asteras Tripolis 34 12 11 11 -5 47
8 Volos NFC 32 9 12 11 -7 39
9 Giannina 33 9 10 14 -5 37
10 Lamia 32 8 10 14 -20 34
11 Atromitos 32 6 13 13 -16 31
12 Apollon 32 8 6 18 -14 30
13 Panetolikos 33 6 10 17 -23 28
14 OFI Crete 32 6 7 19 -24 25
15 Larisa 32 5 9 18 -25 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa OFI Crete
33′
J. de Guzmán 0–1
N. Korovesis
Manolis Bertos 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Vajebah Sakor
39′
🟨 Nikos Korovesis
Half-time 0–1
D. Pinakas 🔁
↦ Ä. Ben-Hatira
55′
A. Colombino 🔁
↦ A. Nikolias
55′
S. Glinos 🔁
↦ R. Milosavljević
65′
Manuel Stiefler 🟨
74′
N. Karanikas 🔁
↦ M. Bertos
77′
B. Moukandjo 🔁
↦ F. Durmishaj
78′
Uroš Ćosić 🟨
80′
Nikos Karanikas 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 N. Solís
↦ Adrián Sardinero
82′
🔁 Sturgeon
↦ V. Sakor
84′
🟨 Miguel Mellado
84′
🟥 Konstantinos Giannoulis
87′
🔁 N. Vafeas
↦ A. Giannou
97′
🔁 A. Oues
↦ N. Solís
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Larisa

4-3-3
1 G. Nagy G
25 M. Bertos D
27 M. Maksymenko D
15 U. Ćosić D
10 Ä. Ben-Hatira M
7 M. Stiefler D
11 N. Jakimovski M
88 A. Nikolias M
8 R. Milosavljević M
29 M. Acuña F
9 F. Durmishaj F
Bench (9)
17 D. Pinakas
30 A. Colombino
14 S. Glinos
2 N. Karanikas
12 B. Moukandjo
16 N. Žižić
67 S. Souloukos
4 T. Iliadis
22 A. Jusino

Coach: G. Festa

OFI Crete

3-5-2
24 B. Waterman G
18 K. Giannoulis D
6 N. Marinakis D
14 P. Vouros D
15 A. Diamantis D
33 J. de Guzmán M
4 V. Sakor M
34 N. Korovesis D
29 M. Mellado M
20 A. Giannou F
22 Adrián Sardinero F
Bench (9)
11 N. Solís
7 Sturgeon
13 N. Vafeas
2 A. Oues
32 D. Sotiriou
16 K. Balogiannis
28 F. Grivas
17 V. Nikokyrakis
5 V. Selimovic

Coach: N. Nioplias

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U
3,15
B ✓
3,22
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.