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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
Larisa
T U T T T
0–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
9%
27%
Points per game
0,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
24 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Larisa 14. · OFI Crete 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 10 9 1 0 +19 28
2 PAOK 10 7 3 0 +13 24
3 Aris Thessalonikis 10 7 2 1 +9 23
4 Aris 10 7 2 1 +9 23
5 AEK 9 6 1 2 +9 19
6 Panathinaikos 12 4 3 5 +0 15
7 Atromitos 12 3 6 3 -4 15
8 Volos NFC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
9 Giannina 12 3 4 5 +0 13
10 Asteras Tripolis 12 3 4 5 -4 13
11 OFI Crete 11 3 3 5 -4 12
12 Apollon 11 2 3 6 -5 9
13 Panetolikos 12 1 4 7 -10 7
14 Larisa 11 1 3 7 -13 6
15 Lamia 10 0 2 8 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa OFI Crete
Half-time 0–0
N. Trujić 🔁
↦ D. Pinakas
57′
H. Younès 🔁
↦ F. Durmishaj
57′
58′
T. Sparv 1–0
own goal
S. Glinos 🔁
↦ M. Bertos
64′
66′
🟨 Konstantinos Balogiannis
Spyridon Glinos 🟨
76′
Radomir Milosavljević 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 A. Giannou
↦ K. Balogiannis
G. Zacharakis 🔁
↦ R. Milosavljević
80′
86′
🔁 N. Korovesis
↦ O. Lymperakis
Vangelis Platellas 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Dimitris Sotiriou
Nikola Trujić 🟨
90′
Tim Sparv 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 F. Grivas
↦ Sturgeon
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Larisa

4-4-2
1 G. Nagy G
25 M. Bertos D
5 A. Michail D
16 N. Žižić D
7 S. Filip D
4 T. Iliadis D
6 T. Sparv M
11 V. Platelas M
8 R. Milosavljević M
9 F. Durmishaj F
17 D. Pinakas F
Bench (9)
92 N. Trujić
99 H. Younès
14 S. Glinos
21 G. Zacharakis
70 G. Daktylas
19 V. Bajić
27 D. Loufakis
23 G. Maidanos
18 A. Kotsianoulis

Coach: G. Tatsis

OFI Crete

5-4-1
32 D. Sotiriou G
18 K. Giannoulis D
14 P. Vouros D
15 A. Diamantis D
2 A. Oues
3 O. Lymperakis D
7 Sturgeon M
29 M. Mellado M
26 P. Staikos M
16 K. Balogiannis M
22 Adrián Sardinero F
Bench (9)
20 A. Giannou
34 N. Korovesis
28 F. Grivas
38 T. Mingos
13 N. Vafeas
23 A. Gargalatzidis
11 N. Solís
49 G. Sournakis
24 B. Waterman

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,66
U
2,88
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Koutsiaftis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.