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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
Heerenveen
S T U T S
0–2
Full-time
Zwolle
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
31%
24%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 10. · Zwolle 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 29 23 4 2 +66 73
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 18 7 4 +34 61
3 AZ Alkmaar 29 18 7 4 +28 61
4 Vitesse 29 17 5 7 +18 56
5 Feyenoord 27 15 7 5 +29 52
6 Groningen 28 13 6 9 +2 45
7 Utrecht 27 11 9 7 +9 42
8 Heracles 29 11 6 12 -8 39
9 Twente 29 9 10 10 +2 37
10 Heerenveen 29 9 10 10 -1 37
11 For Sittard 29 10 4 15 -12 34
12 Sparta Rotterdam 28 9 6 13 -6 33
13 Zwolle 29 7 11 11 -8 32
14 Waalwijk 30 6 8 16 -18 26
15 Willem II 30 6 7 17 -29 25
16 VVV Venlo 29 6 4 19 -36 22
17 FC Emmen 29 4 9 16 -28 21
18 Den Haag 29 2 10 17 -42 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Zwolle
18′
🟨 Bram Van Polen
28′
P. Clement 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. van der Heide 🔁
↦ B. Nygren
46′
46′
🔁 M. van Duinen
↦ B. Manuel
56′
🟨 Kenneth Paal
R. Kaib 🔁
↦ L. Woudenberg
67′
R. Hajal 🔁
↦ R. Kongolo
67′
68′
B. van Polen 0–2
P. Clement
76′
🔁 M. Saymak
↦ J. Drost
76′
🔁 R. Strieder
↦ T. Lam
R. Smit 🔁
↦ S. Floranus
77′
77′
🔁 R. Ghoochannejhad
↦ S. Tedić
Siem de Jong 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 S. Lagsir
↦ P. Clement
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
5 L. Woudenberg D
2 S. Floranus D
14 I. Dresevic D
3 J. van Hecke D
43 L. Schöne M
6 S. de Jong M
44 T. Halilović F
21 R. Kongolo M
11 M. van Bergen F
8 B. Nygren F
Bench (10)
16 A. van der Heide
41 R. Kaib
17 R. Hajal
26 R. Smit
23 J. Bekkema
42 S. van Ottele
15 S. Dewaele
22 A. Harush
18 H. Akujobi
10 O. Batista-Meier

Coach: J. Jansen

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 X. Mous G
2 B. van Polen D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama M
15 S. Kersten D
11 J. Drost M
22 P. Clement F
30 D. Huiberts M
14 B. Manuel F
27 S. Tedić F
Bench (10)
9 M. van Duinen
6 M. Saymak
13 R. Strieder
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
21 S. Lagsir
20 T. van den Belt
36 M. Doue
33 R. van den Berg
16 N. Bertrams
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: B. Konterman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U
3,73
B ✓
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.