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Super League
Referee: S Koubarakis
Atromitos
T U U T U
0–1
Full-time
Larisa
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 17%
20%
13%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
40%
37%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
8 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atromitos 11. · Larisa 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 31 25 5 1 +58 80
2 Aris Thessalonikis 28 16 6 6 +19 54
3 Aris 28 16 6 6 +19 54
4 Panathinaikos 30 15 7 8 +14 52
5 PAOK 30 14 9 7 +21 51
6 AEK 30 15 6 9 +5 51
7 Asteras Tripolis 31 12 10 9 -2 46
8 Volos NFC 31 9 11 11 -7 38
9 Giannina 30 9 9 12 -3 36
10 Apollon 31 8 6 17 -13 30
11 Atromitos 30 6 12 12 -15 30
12 Lamia 30 7 9 14 -21 30
13 OFI Crete 31 6 6 19 -24 24
14 Panetolikos 31 4 10 17 -25 22
15 Larisa 30 4 8 18 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atromitos Larisa
33′
🟨 Spyridon Glinos
A. Agayev 🔁
↦ C. NSikulu
37′
Lucas Galvao 🟨
40′
41′
M. Stiefler 0–1
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Nikola Jakimovski
Juan Muñiz 🔁
↦ S. Natsos
58′
64′
🔁 T. Iliadis
↦ N. Jakimovski
64′
🔁 A. Nikolias
↦ S. Glinos
69′
🟨 Fiorin Durmishaj
C. Theodorakis 🔁
↦ C. Mandas
71′
B. Matić 🔁
↦ L. Christodoulopoulos
71′
73′
🟨 Maksim Maksymenko
75′
🔁 N. Žižić
↦ Ä. Ben-Hatira
Theofanis Mavromatis 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Gergely Nagy
88′
🔁 D. Graur
↦ M. Acuña
88′
🔁 R. Milosavljević
↦ F. Durmishaj
90′
🟨 Manolis Bertos
90′
🟨 Nikola Žižić
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Atromitos

4-3-3
35 C. Mandas G
12 Rodrigo Galo D
3 Lucas Galvão D
4 D. Goutas D
24 T. Mavromatis D
77 L. Christodoulopoulos M
21 P. Salomon M
8 J. Umbides M
16 S. Natsos M
9 G. Manousos F
59 C. N'Sikulu F
Bench (9)
11 A. Agayev
14 Juan Muñiz
13 C. Theodorakis
99 B. Matić
27 G. Ntaviotis
29 S. Stroungis
23 K. Kotsopoulos
10 B. Rabello
30 N. Athanasiou

Coach: G. Korakakis

Larisa

4-2-3-1
1 G. Nagy G
25 M. Bertos D
27 M. Maksymenko D
15 U. Ćosić D
10 Ä. Ben-Hatira M
7 M. Stiefler D
11 N. Jakimovski M
30 A. Colombino M
14 S. Glinos M
29 M. Acuña F
9 F. Durmishaj F
Bench (9)
4 T. Iliadis
88 A. Nikolias
16 N. Žižić
66 D. Graur
8 R. Milosavljević
44 N. Gkotzamanidis
2 N. Karanikas
67 S. Souloukos
17 D. Pinakas

Coach: G. Festa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,10
B ✓
3,06
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Koubarakis · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
34,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.