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Premier League

Referee: M Salisbury

Man United

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Bournemouth

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 16/17 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

24%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

56%

53%

Both score Ø 43%

50%

35%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man United 4. · Bournemouth 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	17	14	2	1	+26	44
2	Man City	16	11	3	2	+28	36
3	Newcastle	18	9	8	1	+21	35
4	Man United	16	10	2	4	+4	32
5	Tottenham	17	9	3	5	+8	30
6	Liverpool	17	8	4	5	+12	28
7	Fulham	18	8	4	6	+3	28
8	Brighton	17	8	3	6	+7	27
9	Brentford	18	6	8	4	+2	26
10	Chelsea	16	7	4	5	+2	25
11	Crystal Palace	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Aston Villa	17	6	3	8	-6	21
13	Leicester	18	5	2	11	-5	17
14	Leeds	16	4	4	8	-6	16
15	Bournemouth	17	4	4	9	-18	16
16	Everton	18	3	6	9	-10	15
17	West Ham	17	4	2	11	-9	14
18	Nott'm Forest	17	3	5	9	-22	14
19	Wolves	17	3	4	10	-16	13
20	Southampton	17	3	3	11	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	9	7	1	1	+21	22
2	Arsenal	8	7	1	0	+14	22
3	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Newcastle	9	5	4	0	+12	19
5	Tottenham	9	6	0	3	+8	18
6	Brentford	9	4	4	1	+8	16
7	Man United	7	5	1	1	+8	16
8	Fulham	9	4	3	2	+2	15
9	Chelsea	7	4	2	1	+6	14
10	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+3	13
11	Crystal Palace	8	4	1	3	-1	13
12	Nott'm Forest	9	3	3	3	-1	12
13	Brighton	8	3	2	3	+3	11
14	Leeds	8	3	2	3	+1	11
15	Bournemouth	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	West Ham	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	Leicester	9	2	2	5	-1	8
18	Everton	9	2	2	5	-4	8
19	Wolves	9	2	2	5	-9	8
20	Southampton	8	1	3	4	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Newcastle	9	4	4	1	+9	16
3	Brighton	9	5	1	3	+4	16
4	Man United	9	5	1	3	-4	16
5	Man City	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Fulham	9	4	1	4	+1	13
7	Tottenham	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Chelsea	9	3	2	4	-4	11
9	Brentford	9	2	4	3	-6	10
10	Crystal Palace	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Leicester	9	3	0	6	-4	9
12	Liverpool	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Aston Villa	9	2	2	5	-9	8
14	Everton	9	1	4	4	-6	7
15	Southampton	9	2	0	7	-11	6
16	Leeds	8	1	2	5	-7	5
17	Wolves	8	1	2	5	-7	5
18	Bournemouth	8	1	2	5	-17	5
19	West Ham	8	1	1	6	-6	4
20	Nott'm Forest	8	0	2	6	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.