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Copa del Rey
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Cacereño
S S
0–1
Full-time
Real Madrid
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cacereño Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Espanol 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Celta 3 2 0 1 +6 6
6 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Elche 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Levante 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Sp Gijon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Cacereño 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Pontevedra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Gimnastic 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 Ceuta 2 2 0 0 +2 6
21 Oviedo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Linares Deportivo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +2 6
24 Albacete 2 1 1 0 +3 4
25 UD Logroñés 2 1 1 0 +2 4
26 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +2 4
27 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Saguntino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Las Palmas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 La Nucía 3 1 1 1 -1 4
31 Cartagena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
32 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Ibiza 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Guijuelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Granada 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Real Unión 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Numancia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Arenas Getxo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 CD Coria 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
58 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
70 Mérida AD 2 0 1 1 -1 1
71 Atlético Paso 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Burgos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Arnedo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
74 Juventud Torremolinos 2 0 1 1 -3 1
75 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Gernika 2 0 1 1 -3 1
77 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
78 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Santander 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
122 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cacereño Real Madrid
27′
🟨 A. Tchouameni
Manchon Samuel 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
Karim El Kounni 🔁
↦ Carmelo Merenciano
46′
46′
🔁 A. Rüdiger
↦ Éder Militão
46′
🔁 F. Valverde
↦ A. Tchouaméni
51′
🔁 Vallejo
↦ Odriozola
I. Fernandez 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 Á. Rodríguez
↦ E. Hazard
69′
⚽ Rodrygo 0–1
Dani Ceballos
Miguel Garci 🔁
↦ Iván Fernández
72′
Rubén Solano 🔁
↦ David Grande
72′
L. Telles 🟨
73′
S. Bermúdez 🔁
↦ L. Télles
75′
S. Bermudez 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 Sergio Arribas
↦ Marco Asensio
Pedro Ramírez 🔁
↦ S. Gomis
82′
P. Ramirez 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 E. Camavinga
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cacereño

4-4-1-1
13 Iván Moreno G
4 Josín D
22 S. Gomis D
2 Luis Aguado D
3 Manolo Molina D
15 L. Télles M
6 Álvaro Clausí M
11 David Grande F
16 Samu Manchón F
7 Iván Fernández
10 Carmelo Merenciano M
Bench (11)
20 Karim El Kounni
19 Miguel Garci
9 Rubén Solano
14 S. Bermúdez
17 Pedro Ramírez
8 Ruymán Arteaga
25 Daniel Santamaria
5 Albert Caparrós
18 O. Traoré
30 Miguel Nieto
1 Alfonso Liceras

Coach: Julio Cobos

Real Madrid

4-3-3
13 A. Lunin G
6 Nacho D
16 Odriozola D
3 Éder Militão D
17 Lucas Vázquez D
19 Dani Ceballos M
18 A. Tchouaméni M
12 E. Camavinga M
7 E. Hazard F
11 Marco Asensio F
21 Rodrygo F
Bench (9)
22 A. Rüdiger
15 F. Valverde
5 Vallejo
39 Á. Rodríguez
33 Sergio Arribas
40 N. Paz
26 Luis López
41 Marvel
30 Lucas Cañizares

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.