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Copa del Rey
Referee: Mario Melero
La Nucía
S U
0–3
Full-time
Valencia
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Nucía Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%
5 Shots 6
0 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Celta 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Elche 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Levante 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Sp Gijon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Cacereño 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Pontevedra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Gimnastic 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 Ceuta 2 2 0 0 +2 6
21 Oviedo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Linares Deportivo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +2 6
24 Albacete 2 1 1 0 +3 4
25 La Nucía 2 1 1 0 +2 4
26 UD Logroñés 2 1 1 0 +2 4
27 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +2 4
28 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Cartagena 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 Saguntino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
31 Las Palmas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
32 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Ibiza 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Guijuelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Granada 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Real Unión 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Numancia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Arenas Getxo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 CD Coria 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
56 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
57 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
69 Mérida AD 2 0 1 1 -1 1
70 Atlético Paso 2 0 1 1 -1 1
71 Burgos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Arnedo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
73 Juventud Torremolinos 2 0 1 1 -3 1
74 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
75 Gernika 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
77 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Santander 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Nucía Valencia
3′
⚽ J. Kluivert 0–1
C. Özkacar
31′
⚽ Ilaix Moriba 0–2
Jesús Vázquez
Half-time 0–2
Mariano Sanz 🔁
↦ Marcos Bustillo
46′
Jorge García 🔁
↦ Javi Cabezas
46′
Borja Calvo 🔁
↦ Josema Raigal
46′
J. Martin 🟨
60′
J. Garcia 🟨
63′
70′
🔁 Y. Musah
↦ Hugo Guillamón
70′
🔁 André Almeida
↦ Ilaix Moriba
72′
⚽ Hugo Duro 0–3
J. Kluivert
Eneko Delgado 🔁
↦ Javi Martín
77′
77′
🔁 Fran Pérez
↦ J. Kluivert
77′
🔁 Iago Herrerín
↦ G. Mamardashvili
81′
🔁 Rubo Iranzo
↦ Toni Lato
Sergio Buenacasa 🔁
↦ Ismael Gutiérrez
83′
87′
🟨 R. Iranzo
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

La Nucía

4-2-3-1
13 Jaume Valens G
2 Romera D
4 K. Toner D
6 Adrián León D
5 T. Dasquet D
20 Javi Cabezas M
19 Josema Raigal M
8 Fer Pina M
10 Ismael Gutiérrez M
14 Marcos Bustillo M
11 Javi Martín F
Bench (11)
21 Mariano Sanz
23 Jorge García
16 Borja Calvo
25 Eneko Delgado
9 Sergio Buenacasa
24 Adrián Prieto
28 Mario Espinosa
1 F. Ackermann
15 Álex Salto
29 Víctor Savall
12 Lluís Aspar

Coach: Ferrando

Valencia

3-4-2-1
25 G. Mamardashvili G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
3 Toni Lato M
6 Hugo Guillamón M
15 C. Özkacar D
21 Jesús Vázquez M
33 Cristhian Mosquera D
8 Ilaix Moriba M
9 J. Kluivert F
22 Marcos André F
19 Hugo Duro F
Bench (11)
4 Y. Musah
18 André Almeida
29 Fran Pérez
1 Iago Herrerín
34 Rubo Iranzo
11 Samu Castillejo
14 José Gayà
24 E. Cömert
7 E. Cavani
16 Samuel Lino
12 M. Diakhaby

Coach: G. Gattuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.