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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Asteras Tripolis

S T U U T

1–1

Full-time

AEK

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

This season — Super League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

82%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

27%

Both score Ø 27%

36%

18%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,9

Conceded

1,2

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 10. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	12	11	1	0	+18	34
2	AEK	11	9	0	2	+17	27
3	Volos NFC	12	7	3	2	+6	24
4	Olympiakos	12	6	3	3	+8	21
5	PAOK	12	5	5	2	+3	20
6	Panetolikos	12	4	4	4	+2	16
7	Aris Thessalonikis	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Aris	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Atromitos	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Asteras Tripolis	11	1	6	4	-4	9
11	Lamia	11	1	6	4	-7	9
12	Giannina	11	2	3	6	-11	9
13	OFI Crete	12	1	5	6	-9	8
14	Ionikos	12	1	4	7	-11	7
15	Levadeiakos	12	1	4	7	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	8	7	1	0	+9	22
2	Olympiakos	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	PAOK	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Volos NFC	7	4	1	2	+2	13
5	AEK	5	4	0	1	+7	12
6	Aris Thessalonikis	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Aris	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Atromitos	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Giannina	5	2	2	1	-1	8
10	Panetolikos	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Levadeiakos	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Lamia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Ionikos	5	0	4	1	-3	4
15	OFI Crete	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	6	5	0	1	+10	15
2	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Volos NFC	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Panetolikos	6	2	3	1	+3	9
5	Olympiakos	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	PAOK	6	1	4	1	-1	7
7	OFI Crete	6	1	3	2	-3	6
8	Asteras Tripolis	6	0	4	2	-2	4
9	Aris Thessalonikis	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Aris	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Lamia	6	0	4	2	-3	4
12	Atromitos	5	1	0	4	-2	3
13	Ionikos	7	1	0	6	-8	3
14	Levadeiakos	8	0	2	6	-10	2
15	Giannina	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.