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Copa del Rey

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Ceuta

S S

1–0

Full-time

Elche

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ceuta 20. · Elche 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Celta	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Levante	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Cacereño	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Pontevedra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Gimnastic	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Intercity	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
20	Ceuta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Oviedo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Linares Deportivo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
24	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
25	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+2	4
26	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
27	Eldense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	La Nucía	3	1	1	1	-1	4
31	Cartagena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
32	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Numancia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
57	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
58	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
70	Mérida AD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
74	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
75	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
76	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
77	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
78	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
26	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
27	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	UD Logroñés	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
36	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
37	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
38	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
39	La Nucía	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
41	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Celta	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
49	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
50	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ceuta Elche

27′

🟨 E. Ponce

43′

🟨 E. Roco

43′

🟨 Tete Morente

44′

🟨 G. Gumbau

1–0 Rodri ⚽

44′

Half-time 1–0

58′

🟨 L. Blanco

61′

🟨 E. Ponce

61′

🟥 E. Ponce

69′

🔁 L. Boyé

↦ M. Cocca

69′

🔁 Pere Milla

↦ Domingos Quina

69′

🔁 Omar Mascarell

↦ Gumbau

74′

🔁 Clerc

↦ L. Blanco

A. Cuevas 🟨

76′

Rodri 🟨

77′

🔁 Roger

↦ Raúl Guti

Pablo García 🔁

↦ Adri Cuevas

84′

Luismi Redondo 🔁

↦ Jota

84′

David Alfonso 🔁

↦ Liberto Beltrán

92′

Samu Casais 🔁

↦ Rodri

92′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ceuta

1 Leandro Montagud

22 R. Lafarge

Juan Gutiérrez

15 Alain

29 Alex Macías

17 Adri Cuevas

23 Antoñito

14 Liberto Beltrán

Alberto Reina

25 Jota

9 Rodri

Bench (11)

16 Pablo García

11 Luismi Redondo

18 David Alfonso

21 Samu Casais

2 Carlos Barreda

8 Julio Iglesias

7 Aisar

26 Ivan Breñé

13 Gato Romero

28 Adrián Moyano

20 M. Télis

Coach: José Juan Romero

Elche

13 Edgar Badia

3 E. Roco

5 Gonzalo Verdú

2 L. Blanco

Fidel

Gumbau

8 Raúl Guti

Tete Morente

12 Domingos Quina

33 M. Cocca

E. Ponce

Bench (11)

9 L. Boyé

10 Pere Milla

21 Omar Mascarell

23 Clerc

18 Roger

14 H. Palacios

32 Alejandro Alfaro

1 A. Werner

4 Diego González

27 Carles Soler

6 Bigas

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

21. Dec CDR 3 years ago

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

26,9 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Ceuta

Elche

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee