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Super League
Referee: F Brych
Olympiakos
T T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Super League · 38/37 matches
Win Ø 62%
53%
70%
Points per game
1,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
55%
22%
Both score Ø 37%
47%
27%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
0,8
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
12 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 4. · Panathinaikos 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 38 28 5 5 +55 89
2 Panathinaikos 37 26 8 3 +35 86
3 PAOK 38 21 11 6 +27 74
4 Olympiakos 38 20 11 7 +43 71
5 Aris Thessalonikis 34 15 5 14 +15 50
6 Aris 35 15 5 15 +14 50
7 Volos NFC 38 12 7 19 -31 43
8 OFI Crete 34 9 12 13 -9 39
9 Atromitos 34 9 11 14 -3 38
10 Panetolikos 34 8 9 17 -18 33
11 Giannina 34 7 12 15 -23 33
12 Lamia 34 6 13 15 -34 31
13 Asteras Tripolis 34 5 15 14 -18 30
14 Ionikos 34 7 8 19 -27 29
15 Levadeiakos 34 4 14 16 -26 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Panathinaikos
Half-time 0–0
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ C. Bakambu
46′
Oleg Reabciuk 🟨
62′
M. Vrousai 🔁
↦ Pep Biel
63′
66′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ A. Šporar
66′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ S. Palacios
1–0 O. Reabciuk ⚽
Rodinei
68′
73′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ F. Sánchez
73′
🔁 L. Kleinheisler
↦ Rubén Pérez
Diadié Samassékou 🟨
74′
P. Kasami 🔁
↦ Hwang In-Beom
75′
Ramon 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
76′
79′
🔁 T. Puchacz
↦ Juan Carlos
Ramon 🟥
94′
Ramon ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
94′
Youssef El Arabi 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Hörður Magnússon
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-3-3
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
74 A. Ntoi D
45 O. Reabciuk D
33 Hwang In-Beom M
6 Y. M'Vila M
38 D. Samassékou M
7 K. Fortounis F
94 C. Bakambu F
21 Pep Biel F
Bench (9)
11 Y. El-Arabi
17 M. Vrousai
27 P. Kasami
2 Ramon
31 Ö. Kristinsson
16 Z. Bytyqi
19 G. Masouras
14 T. Androutsos
66 P. Cissé

Coach: J. Anigo

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli G
14 F. Sánchez D
31 Z. Šarlija D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juan Carlos D
16 A. Čerin M
4 Rubén Pérez M
21 D. Kourbelis M
34 S. Palacios F
9 A. Šporar F
10 Bernard F
Bench (9)
7 F. Ioannidis
17 D. Mancini
27 G. Kotsiras
8 L. Kleinheisler
6 T. Puchacz
12 Y. Lodygin
18 E. Çokaj
2 G. Vagiannidis
44 A. Poungouras

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,73
U
3,22
B
2,02
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.