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Super League
Referee: A Katsikogiannis
PAOK
S T S U S
5–0
Full-time
Panserraikos
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panserraikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 43%
58%
27%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
58%
36%
Both score Ø 49%
42%
55%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 4. · Panserraikos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 13 10 1 2 +24 31
2 Panathinaikos 11 9 1 1 +26 28
3 AEK 11 7 3 1 +12 24
4 PAOK 12 7 3 2 +11 24
5 OFI Crete 13 4 6 3 -1 18
6 Lamia 12 5 3 4 -5 18
7 Aris Thessalonikis 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 Aris 11 5 2 4 +2 17
9 Panserraikos 11 3 4 4 -5 13
10 Atromitos 12 3 4 5 -8 13
11 Asteras Tripolis 12 3 2 7 -9 11
12 Kifisia 12 1 6 5 -9 9
13 Giannina 12 1 4 7 -9 7
14 Volos NFC 12 1 4 7 -13 7
15 Panetolikos 13 1 3 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Panserraikos
21′
🔁 P. Deligiannidis
↦ A. Avlonitis
1–0 M. Ozdoev
Taison
21′
2–0 T. Murg
Taison
28′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 K. Thymianis
↦ M. Tomás
63′
🔁 J. Masharipov
↦ P. Staikos
63′
🔁 A. Bajrovic
↦ K. Aleksić
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ Brandon Thomas
68′
S. Meïté 🔁
↦ M. Ozdoev
68′
G. Konstantelias 🔁
↦ Taison
69′
3–0 T. Murg
71′
3–1 D. Dankerlui
own goal
74′
75′
🔁 A. Maskanakis
↦ S. Mourgos
S. Tzimas 🔁
↦ T. Murg
77′
Vieirinha 🔁
↦ Joan Sastre
77′
4–1 Rafa Soares
80′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
15 W. Troost-Ekong D
5 G. Michailidis D
55 Rafa Soares D
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 S. Schwab M
77 K. Despodov M
10 T. Murg M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (9)
33 M. Samatta
8 S. Meïté
7 G. Konstantelias
95 S. Tzimas
20 Vieirinha
4 K. Koulierakis
18 Ž. Živković
19 L. Lyratzis
6 T. Tsingaras

Coach: R. Lucescu

Panserraikos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Chovan G
27 D. Dankerlui D
5 A. Avlonitis D
31 E. Bergström D
3 S. Petavrakis D
26 P. Staikos M
69 M. Moreira M
21 S. Mourgos M
11 M. Tomás M
2 K. Pileas M
14 K. Aleksić F
Bench (9)
64 P. Deligiannidis
8 K. Thymianis
10 J. Masharipov
9 A. Bajrovic
17 A. Maskanakis
6 A. Oikonomou
29 P. Tsagkalidis
13 P. Katsikas
23 M. Sofianos

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
6,17
B
11,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Katsikogiannis · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.