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Europa League
Referee: M Krogh
Olympiakos
T S S T U
5–2
Full-time
TSC Backa Topola
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos TSC Backa Topola
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 22%
44%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
67%
80%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
3,1
3,6
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,6
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,43 xG 1,33
65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 TSC Backa Topola – Olympiakos 2–2

Match report

Olympiakos TSC Backa Topola
1–0 A. El Kaabi ⚽
Rodinei
21′
30′
🟨 Nikola Kuveljić
2–0 Daniel Podence ⚽
K. Fortounis
40′
3–0 Daniel Podence ⚽
K. Fortounis
42′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 V. Ilić ⚽
own goal
46′
48′
⚽ I. Đakovac 3–2
50′
🟨 Milan Radin
55′
🔁 M. Rakonjac
↦ U. Milovanović
55′
🔁 M. Vulić
↦ M. Radin
55′
🔁 B. Sós
↦ N. Petrović
60′
🟨 Nikola Kuveljić
60′
🟥 Nikola Kuveljić
60′
⚽ A. Ćirković 3–3
I. Đakovac
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
64′
Pep Biel 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
64′
4–3 Y. El-Arabi ⚽
K. Fortounis
67′
S. Alexandropoulos 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
72′
72′
🔁 P. Stanić
↦ A. Ćirković
João Carvalho 🔁
↦ S. Hezze
73′
75′
🟨 Bence Sós
81′
🟨 Vukašin Krstić
O. Richards 🔁
↦ M. Camara
86′
87′
🔁 J. Vlalukin
↦ J. Ćalušić
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
74 A. Ntoi D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
4 M. Camara M
7 K. Fortounis M
19 G. Masouras M
56 Daniel Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (11)
11 Y. El-Arabi
21 Pep Biel
15 S. Alexandropoulos
20 João Carvalho
27 O. Richards
99 T. Papadoudis
8 Iborra
18 Quini
88 K. Tzolakis
22 S. Jovetić
98 O. Solbakken

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

TSC Backa Topola

5-3-2
12 V. Ilić G
29 M. Cvetković D
44 V. Krstić D
18 N. Stojić D
4 J. Ćalušić D
30 N. Petrović D
35 I. Đakovac M
7 M. Radin M
21 N. Kuveljić M
9 U. Milovanović F
32 A. Ćirković F
Bench (10)
97 M. Rakonjac
37 M. Vulić
88 B. Sós
14 P. Stanić
77 J. Vlalukin
1 N. Simić
23 N. Jorgić
27 M. Pantović
10 M. Mirchevski
17 G. Antonić

Coach: Ž. Lazetić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.