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Europa League
Referee: I Peljto
Freiburg
T U S T U
5–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
100%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
4,3
2,9
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

1,40 xG 0,70
54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Olympiakos – Freiburg 2–3 27. Oct -22 Freiburg – Olympiakos 1–1 15. Sep -22 Olympiakos – Freiburg 0–3

Match report

Freiburg Olympiakos
1–0 M. Gregoritsch ⚽
3′
2–0 M. Gregoritsch ⚽
R. Doan
8′
34′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
3–0 M. Gregoritsch ⚽
J. Makengo
36′
4–0 K. Sildillia ⚽
M. Gregoritsch
42′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 Iborra
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
50′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ Daniel Podence
57′
🟨 Panagiotis Retsos
M. Röhl 🔁
↦ M. Gregoritsch
66′
M. Gulde 🔁
↦ P. Lienhart
66′
J. Adamu 🔁
↦ L. Höler
67′
5–0 R. Doan ⚽
77′
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ N. Höfler
78′
N. Weißhaupt 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
78′
82′
🟨 Vicente Iborra
83′
🔁 João Carvalho
↦ S. Hezze
84′
🔁 Quini
↦ Rodinei
84′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ A. El Kaabi
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 N. Atubolu G
25 K. Sildillia D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
33 J. Makengo D
42 R. Doan M
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
32 V. Grifo M
9 L. Höler F
38 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (8)
34 M. Röhl
5 M. Gulde
20 J. Adamu
22 R. Sallai
7 N. Weißhaupt
21 F. Müller
54 M. Baur
35 F. Rüdlin

Coach: C. Streich

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
74 A. Ntoi D
3 F. Ortega D
4 M. Camara M
32 S. Hezze M
7 K. Fortounis M
15 S. Alexandropoulos M
56 Daniel Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
8 Iborra
19 G. Masouras
20 João Carvalho
18 Quini
11 Y. El-Arabi
98 O. Solbakken
99 T. Papadoudis
21 Pep Biel
88 K. Tzolakis

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.