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Super League

Referee: A Papapetrou

Panathinaikos

T S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 57%

68%

45%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

74%

65%

Both score Ø 44%

37%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

2,5

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Panathinaikos 3. · Asteras Tripolis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	21	14	3	4	+38	45
2	AEK	20	13	6	1	+24	45
3	Panathinaikos	19	13	2	4	+31	41
4	Olympiakos	19	12	3	4	+24	39
5	Aris Thessalonikis	18	9	3	6	+8	30
6	Aris	18	9	3	6	+8	30
7	Asteras Tripolis	20	9	2	9	-5	29
8	Lamia	21	7	7	7	-7	28
9	Atromitos	20	6	8	6	-8	26
10	OFI Crete	21	5	8	8	-12	23
11	Panserraikos	20	5	6	9	-10	21
12	Volos NFC	20	3	5	12	-23	14
13	Panetolikos	21	3	5	13	-24	14
14	Kifisia	20	2	7	11	-25	13
15	Giannina	20	2	6	12	-19	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	11	9	2	0	+26	29
2	AEK	10	7	3	0	+14	24
3	Aris Thessalonikis	10	7	2	1	+9	23
4	Aris	10	7	2	1	+9	23
5	Olympiakos	10	7	0	3	+16	21
6	Lamia	11	6	2	3	+4	20
7	Panathinaikos	8	6	1	1	+19	19
8	OFI Crete	11	5	4	2	+2	19
9	Asteras Tripolis	11	5	1	5	-5	16
10	Atromitos	10	3	6	1	+0	15
11	Panserraikos	7	3	3	1	+3	12
12	Panetolikos	10	3	3	4	-8	12
13	Kifisia	10	2	4	4	-7	10
14	Giannina	9	2	2	5	-5	8
15	Volos NFC	11	2	2	7	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	11	7	1	3	+12	22
2	AEK	10	6	3	1	+10	21
3	Olympiakos	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	PAOK	10	5	1	4	+12	16
5	Asteras Tripolis	9	4	1	4	+0	13
6	Atromitos	10	3	2	5	-8	11
7	Panserraikos	13	2	3	8	-13	9
8	Lamia	10	1	5	4	-11	8
9	Aris Thessalonikis	8	2	1	5	-1	7
10	Aris	8	2	1	5	-1	7
11	Volos NFC	9	1	3	5	-11	6
12	Giannina	11	0	4	7	-14	4
13	OFI Crete	10	0	4	6	-14	4
14	Kifisia	10	0	3	7	-18	3
15	Panetolikos	11	0	2	9	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.