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Premiership

Referee: S Kirkland

Hibernian

U U S S U

1–0

Full-time

St Mirren

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — Premiership · 18/15 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

56%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

39%

40%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hibernian 4. · St Mirren 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	18	16	2	0	+45	50
2	Celtic	15	10	4	1	+23	34
3	Aberdeen	17	10	4	3	+8	34
4	Hibernian	18	9	6	3	+12	33
5	Dundee United	18	5	6	7	-9	21
6	St Mirren	15	5	3	7	-6	18
7	Livingston	17	5	3	9	-7	18
8	Kilmarnock	17	5	2	10	-3	17
9	ST Johnstone	18	4	5	9	-8	17
10	Motherwell	16	4	3	9	-9	15
11	Hamilton	17	4	2	11	-22	14
12	Ross County	18	3	4	11	-24	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	9	9	0	0	+30	27
2	Aberdeen	9	6	1	2	+5	19
3	Celtic	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Hibernian	8	2	5	1	+1	11
5	Dundee United	9	3	2	4	-1	11
6	Kilmarnock	8	3	1	4	+2	10
7	Livingston	9	3	1	5	-4	10
8	St Mirren	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	ST Johnstone	9	2	2	5	-4	8
10	Motherwell	9	2	1	6	-8	7
11	Ross County	9	1	3	5	-14	6
12	Hamilton	8	1	2	5	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Hibernian	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Celtic	8	5	3	0	+12	18
4	Aberdeen	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Dundee United	9	2	4	3	-8	10
6	St Mirren	7	3	0	4	-3	9
7	ST Johnstone	9	2	3	4	-4	9
8	Hamilton	9	3	0	6	-13	9
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Livingston	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Kilmarnock	9	2	1	6	-5	7
12	Ross County	9	2	1	6	-10	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.