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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Livingston
S T T T U
0–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 14/11 matches
Win Ø 20%
21%
18%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 47%
57%
36%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
5 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 10. · St Mirren 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 14 12 2 0 +34 38
2 Celtic 12 9 2 1 +21 29
3 Aberdeen 12 8 2 2 +8 26
4 Hibernian 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Dundee United 14 4 5 5 -7 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 2 7 +0 14
7 Motherwell 12 4 2 6 -3 14
8 ST Johnstone 13 4 2 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 4 7 -14 13
10 Livingston 14 3 3 8 -9 12
11 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 -9 8
12 Hamilton 12 2 1 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston St Mirren
26′
🟨 Jamie McGrath
Half-time 0–1
56′
J. Doyle-Hayes 0–1
J. Serrano 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
64′
Ciaron Brown 🟨
70′
J. Mullin 🔁
↦ S. Lawson
74′
M. Poplatnik 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
74′
79′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ D. Connolly
82′
🔁 L. Erwin
↦ J. Obika
92′
🔁 C. MacPherson
↦ J. McGrath
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
33 S. Lawson D
3 C. Brown D
6 M. Bartley M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 A. Forrest M
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas F
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (9)
12 J. Serrano
14 J. Mullin
15 M. Poplatnik
5 J. Fitzwater
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair
40 G. Maley
17 S. Robinson
21 J. McMillan
25 E. Ambrose

Coach: G. Holt

St Mirren

4-5-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
3 B. Mason M
16 S. Foley D
21 D. Connolly M
17 J. McGrath M
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
25 E. Erhahon M
9 J. Obika F
Bench (9)
10 K. McAllister
23 L. Erwin
14 C. MacPherson
8 R. Flynn
20 K. Dennis
6 N. Sheron
11 Í. Durmuş
19 J. Morias
26 D. Lyness

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,61
B ✓
4,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.