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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Kilmarnock
S S T T T
3–1
Full-time
Ross County
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,7
This season — Premiership · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 26%
31%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
46%
43%
Both score Ø 41%
46%
36%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 10
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 6. · Ross County 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 14 12 2 0 +34 38
2 Celtic 12 9 2 1 +21 29
3 Aberdeen 12 8 2 2 +8 26
4 Hibernian 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Dundee United 14 4 5 5 -7 17
6 Kilmarnock 13 4 2 7 +0 14
7 Motherwell 12 4 2 6 -3 14
8 ST Johnstone 13 4 2 7 -6 14
9 Ross County 14 3 4 7 -14 13
10 Livingston 14 3 3 8 -9 12
11 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 -9 8
12 Hamilton 12 2 1 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Ross County
Stuart Findlay 🟥
8′
1–0 E. Brophy
M. Pinnock
14′
27′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ J. Tillson
42′
T. Grivosti 1–1
S. Kelly
Half-time 1–1
Z. Rossi 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
46′
57′
🔁 K. Watson
↦ T. Grivosti
2–1 N. Kabamba
68′
69′
🔁 J. Hylton
↦ H. Paton
D. Whitehall 🔁
↦ N. Kabamba
85′
C. Burke 🔁
↦ M. Pinnock
86′
Rory McKenzie 🟨
90′
3–1 C. Burke
A. Tshibola
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
23 D. Rogers G
5 K. Broadfoot D
17 S. Findlay D
2 A. McGowan D
3 B. Haunstrup D
8 G. Dicker M
7 R. McKenzie M
19 M. Pinnock M
27 A. Tshibola M
9 E. Brophy F
11 N. Kabamba F
Bench (7)
14 Z. Rossi
12 D. Whitehall
29 C. Burke
10 G. Kiltie
18 C. Waters
16 C. Doyle
33 A. Taylor

Coach: A. Dyer

Ross County

4-1-4-1
21 R. Doohan
25 C. Donaldson D
16 A. Iacovitti D
12 T. Grivosti D
43 J. Reid D
22 J. Tillson M
17 R. Charles-Cook M
24 H. Paton M
18 S. Kelly M
19 C. Lakin M
27 R. Stewart F
Bench (7)
9 B. McKay
15 K. Watson
14 J. Hylton
46 B. Williamson
1 R. Laidlaw
5 C. Morris
44 M. Wright

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,63
B
4,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.