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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
St Mirren
T S S T S
0–4
Full-time
Celtic
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 49%
36%
62%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
36%
58%
Both score Ø 45%
44%
46%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Celtic 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 28 24 4 0 +60 76
2 Celtic 26 16 7 3 +36 55
3 Hibernian 28 14 7 7 +13 49
4 Aberdeen 27 12 8 7 +3 44
5 Livingston 27 11 6 10 +4 39
6 St Mirren 25 9 5 11 -2 32
7 Dundee United 28 7 10 11 -15 31
8 ST Johnstone 28 7 9 12 -10 30
9 Motherwell 27 7 7 13 -14 28
10 Kilmarnock 28 7 3 18 -14 24
11 Ross County 28 6 5 17 -32 23
12 Hamilton 26 5 5 16 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jan -21 Celtic – St Mirren 1–2 16. Sep -20 St Mirren – Celtic 1–2 7. Mar -20 Celtic – St Mirren 5–0 26. Dec -19 St Mirren – Celtic 1–2 30. Oct -19 Celtic – St Mirren 2–0

Match report

St Mirren Celtic
K. McAllister 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
15′
16′
⚽ T. Rogić 0–1
J. Kenny
Half-time 0–1
Jonathan Obika 🟨
64′
68′
🔁 R. Christie
↦ A. Ajeti
68′
🔁 S. Duffy
↦ S. Welsh
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ D. Connolly
72′
Ryan Flynn 🟨
78′
79′
⚽ O. Édouard 0–2
80′
🔁 P. Klimala
↦ O. Édouard
L. Erwin 🔁
↦ R. Flynn
81′
82′
⚽ R. Christie 0–3
T. Rogić
83′
⚽ D. Turnbull 0–4
84′
🟨 Tom Rogić
85′
🔁 L. Griffiths
↦ T. Rogić
85′
🔁 M. Elyounoussi
↦ D. Turnbull
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-1-1
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
8 R. Flynn M
11 Í. Durmuş M
21 D. Connolly M
17 J. McGrath F
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
25 E. Erhahon M
9 J. Obika F
Bench (9)
10 K. McAllister
14 C. MacPherson
23 L. Erwin
33 L. Jamieson
2 R. Tait
3 B. Mason
15 D. Finlayson
30 J. Henderson
26 D. Lyness

Coach: J. Goodwin

Celtic

4-3-1-2
29 S. Bain G
16 J. Kenny D
35 K. Ajer D
3 G. Taylor D
57 S. Welsh D
8 S. Brown M
42 C. McGregor M
18 T. Rogić M
14 D. Turnbull M
10 A. Ajeti F
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
17 R. Christie
4 S. Duffy
11 P. Klimala
9 L. Griffiths
27 M. Elyounoussi
19 M. Johnston
93 D. Laxalt
1 V. Barkas
12 I. Soro

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,10
🔒
U
4,37
🔒
B ✓
1,49
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
U2,5
2,18
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.