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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
ST Johnstone
T T U U U
1–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 23/20 matches
Win Ø 24%
17%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
39%
30%
Both score Ø 44%
48%
40%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · St Mirren 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 23 21 2 0 +53 65
2 Celtic 20 13 5 2 +30 44
3 Aberdeen 21 11 6 4 +8 39
4 Hibernian 23 10 7 6 +7 37
5 Livingston 21 9 3 9 +1 30
6 Dundee United 23 6 9 8 -10 27
7 Kilmarnock 22 7 3 12 -2 24
8 St Mirren 20 6 5 9 -7 23
9 ST Johnstone 23 4 8 11 -12 20
10 Motherwell 21 4 6 11 -14 18
11 Hamilton 22 5 3 14 -26 18
12 Ross County 23 4 5 14 -28 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone St Mirren
45′
🟨 Cameron MacPherson
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Kane
46′
55′
🟨 Cameron MacPherson
55′
🟥 Cameron MacPherson
60′
🔁 E. Erhahon
↦ D. Connolly
Scott Tanser 🟨
65′
67′
🔁 C. Quaner
↦ E. Brophy
M. Davidson 🔁
↦ D. Wotherspoon
68′
S. May 🔁
↦ G. Melamed
68′
C. Hendry 🔁
↦ C. Kane
82′
Murray Davidson 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 J. Obika
↦ L. Erwin
87′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ C. Quaner
L. Craig 🔁
↦ C. Bryson
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Clark G
3 S. Tanser M
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
13 C. Bryson M
10 D. Wotherspoon F
18 A. McCann M
17 G. Melamed F
9 C. Kane F
Bench (7)
8 M. Davidson
14 S. May
22 C. Hendry
26 L. Craig
12 E. Parish
24 C. Booth
7 C. Conway

Coach: C. Davidson

St Mirren

4-3-3
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
21 D. Connolly F
17 J. McGrath M
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
14 C. MacPherson M
23 L. Erwin F
29 E. Brophy F
Bench (9)
25 E. Erhahon
45 C. Quaner
9 J. Obika
10 K. McAllister
20 K. Dennis
16 S. Foley
8 R. Flynn
11 Í. Durmuş
26 D. Lyness

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,27
U
3,26
B
3,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.