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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Livingston
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Celtic
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
This season — Premiership · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 52%
41%
62%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
50%
52%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

30% Possession 70%
6 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Livingston 5. · Celtic 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 24 21 3 0 +53 66
2 Celtic 21 13 6 2 +30 45
3 Hibernian 24 11 7 6 +9 40
4 Aberdeen 22 11 6 5 +5 39
5 Livingston 22 9 4 9 +1 31
6 Dundee United 24 6 10 8 -10 28
7 Kilmarnock 23 7 3 13 -4 24
8 St Mirren 21 6 5 10 -8 23
9 ST Johnstone 24 5 8 11 -11 23
10 Ross County 24 5 5 14 -25 20
11 Motherwell 22 4 7 11 -14 19
12 Hamilton 23 5 4 14 -26 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Celtic
1–0 C. Brown
J. Serrano
15′
28′
M. Elyounoussi 1–1
L. Griffiths
38′
N. Bitton 1–2
C. McGregor
Half-time 1–2
J. Kabia 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
58′
G. Reilly 🔁
↦ J. Hamilton
58′
2–2 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
C. Brown
60′
N. Devlin 🔁
↦ J. Emmanuel-Thomas
66′
70′
🔁 P. Klimala
↦ L. Griffiths
S. Robinson 🔁
↦ J. McMillan
75′
78′
🔁 S. Brown
↦ I. Soro
78′
🔁 J. Frimpong
↦ K. Ajer
82′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ D. Turnbull
83′
🟥 Scott Brown
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Livingston

3-4-2-1
1 R. McCrorie G
27 J. Guthrie D
33 S. Lawson M
21 J. McMillan M
5 J. Fitzwater D
3 C. Brown D
12 J. Serrano M
11 A. Forrest F
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas F
8 S. Pittman M
38 J. Hamilton F
Bench (9)
37 J. Kabia
20 G. Reilly
2 N. Devlin
17 S. Robinson
10 C. Sibbald
39 C. Pignatiello
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair
14 J. Mullin
40 G. Maley

Coach: D. Martindale

Celtic

4-3-1-2
1 V. Barkas G
4 S. Duffy D
35 K. Ajer D
3 G. Taylor D
6 N. Bitton D
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi F
17 R. Christie M
14 D. Turnbull M
12 I. Soro M
9 L. Griffiths F
Bench (9)
11 P. Klimala
8 S. Brown
30 J. Frimpong
19 M. Johnston
10 A. Ajeti
57 S. Welsh
93 D. Laxalt
18 T. Rogić
29 S. Bain

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,90
U ✓
3,64
B
1,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.