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Super League
Referee: F San
Luzern
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Super League · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
25%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
75%
29%
Both score Ø 64%
75%
53%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
11 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 17 11 5 1 +16 38
2 Basel 19 9 4 6 +4 31
3 Zurich 19 7 4 8 +2 25
4 Lugano 17 5 10 2 +2 25
5 St. Gallen 17 6 5 6 +0 23
6 Servette 17 6 5 6 -2 23
7 Lausanne 17 5 5 7 -2 20
8 Sion 19 4 8 7 -6 20
9 Luzern 16 4 4 8 -2 16
10 Vaduz 18 3 6 9 -12 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.