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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Celtic
T U U U S
1–2
Full-time
St Mirren
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 47%
61%
32%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
52%
32%
Both score Ø 42%
43%
41%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

68% Possession 32%
19 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 2. · St Mirren 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 26 23 3 0 +59 72
2 Celtic 23 14 7 2 +32 49
3 Aberdeen 24 12 7 5 +7 43
4 Hibernian 25 11 7 7 +8 40
5 Livingston 24 10 5 9 +3 35
6 Dundee United 25 6 10 9 -14 28
7 St Mirren 22 7 5 10 -4 26
8 Kilmarnock 24 7 3 14 -6 24
9 ST Johnstone 25 5 9 11 -11 24
10 Motherwell 24 5 7 12 -15 22
11 Ross County 26 5 5 16 -31 20
12 Hamilton 24 5 4 15 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic St Mirren
18′
K. Dennis 0–1
D. Connolly
1–1 O. Édouard
C. McGregor
32′
37′
Í. Durmuş 1–2
K. McAllister
Half-time 1–2
T. Rogić 🔁
↦ L. Griffiths
46′
S. Welsh 🔁
↦ N. Bitton
46′
A. Ajeti 🔁
↦ M. Elyounoussi
62′
62′
🔁 J. Doyle-Hayes
↦ K. McAllister
62′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ K. Dennis
R. Christie 🔁
↦ I. Soro
63′
74′
🔁 J. Obika
↦ C. MacPherson
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ D. Turnbull
81′
85′
🔁 R. Tait
↦ D. Connolly
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-1-3-2
29 S. Bain G
4 S. Duffy D
35 K. Ajer D
3 G. Taylor D
6 N. Bitton D
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi M
14 D. Turnbull M
12 I. Soro M
9 L. Griffiths F
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
18 T. Rogić
57 S. Welsh
10 A. Ajeti
17 R. Christie
19 M. Johnston
11 P. Klimala
93 D. Laxalt
56 A. Ralston
1 V. Barkas

Coach: N. Lennon

St Mirren

3-5-1-1
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
11 Í. Durmuş M
21 D. Connolly M
17 J. McGrath M
10 K. McAllister F
14 C. MacPherson M
25 E. Erhahon M
20 K. Dennis F
Bench (9)
7 J. Doyle-Hayes
29 E. Brophy
9 J. Obika
2 R. Tait
15 D. Finlayson
33 L. Jamieson
30 J. Henderson
26 D. Lyness
8 R. Flynn

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,35
U
5,09
B ✓
8,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.