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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hearts
U S U T T
2–2
Full-time
Hamilton
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 14%
12%
15%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
62%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
62%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

17 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 1
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hearts 12. · Hamilton 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 23 1 2 +62 70
2 Rangers 25 19 3 3 +44 60
3 Aberdeen 26 11 8 7 +4 41
4 Motherwell 26 13 2 11 +1 41
5 Livingston 26 10 7 9 +4 37
6 Hibernian 26 8 9 9 -4 33
7 Kilmarnock 26 9 5 12 -6 32
8 ST Johnstone 26 7 10 9 -19 31
9 Ross County 27 6 8 13 -28 26
10 St Mirren 26 5 7 14 -14 22
11 Hamilton 26 4 7 15 -22 19
12 Hearts 26 3 9 14 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Dec -19 Hamilton – Hearts 2–1 31. Aug -19 Hearts – Hamilton 2–2

Match report

Hearts Hamilton
5′
⚽ M. Ogboe 0–1
S. Martin
12′
🔁 B. Alston
↦ A. McGowan
16′
⚽ M. Ogboe 0–2
21′
🟥 Jamie Hamilton
Half-time 0–2
D. Avdijaj 🔁
↦ U. Ikpeazu
46′
1–2 J. Walker ⚽
S. Naismith
48′
C. Washington 🔁
↦ S. Clare
67′
68′
🔁 D. Templeton
↦ D. Moyo
73′
🟨 Will Collar
75′
🔁 S. Davies
↦ M. Ogboe
B. Garuccio 🔁
↦ A. Hickey
76′
Jamie Walker 🟨
77′
Michael Smith 🟨
84′
2–2 C. Halkett ⚽
C. Washington
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-3-1-2
1 Z. Zlamal G
2 M. Smith D
4 J. Souttar D
26 C. Halkett D
51 A. Hickey D
10 J. Walker F
8 S. Clare M
40 A. Irving M
14 S. Naismith M
29 L. Boyce F
19 U. Ikpeazu F
Bench (7)
99 D. Avdijaj
9 C. Washington
17 B. Garuccio
23 Joel Castro
7 O. Bozanić
28 C. Dikamona
27 L. Moore

Coach: D. Stendel

Hamilton

4-3-1-2
31 L. Southwood G
6 J. Hunt D
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
2 A. McGowan D
21 S. Want D
40 J. Hamilton D
25 S. Martin M
7 W. Collar M
20 D. Moyo F
99 M. Ogboe F
Bench (7)
10 B. Alston
16 D. Templeton
8 S. Davies
28 L. Smith
22 K. Gourlay
12 S. Woods
19 A. Winter

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,56
🔒
U ✓
4,03
🔒
B
5,58
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,84
🔒
U2,5
1,94
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.