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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
Celtic
S S S S U
2–0
Full-time
St Mirren
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 28/27 matches
Win Ø 51%
75%
26%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
57%
41%
Both score Ø 46%
39%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
2,1
1,0
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%
21 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · St Mirren 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 21 4 3 +43 67
2 Rangers 28 19 7 2 +34 64
3 Hearts 28 13 7 8 +9 46
4 Hibernian 28 9 8 11 -2 35
5 Dundee United 28 9 8 11 -6 35
6 Motherwell 28 9 8 11 -12 35
7 Livingston 28 9 7 12 -4 34
8 St Mirren 27 7 12 8 -11 33
9 Aberdeen 28 8 8 12 -2 32
10 Ross County 28 7 9 12 -6 30
11 ST Johnstone 28 5 8 15 -17 23
12 Dundee 27 5 6 16 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic St Mirren
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Charles Dunne
Callum McGregor 🟨
49′
55′
🟨 Scott Tanser
1–0 C. Carter-Vickers
55′
T. Rogić 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
64′
64′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ G. Kiltie
64′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ C. Main
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ L. Abada
65′
N. Bitton 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
65′
75′
🔁 M. Fraser
↦ S. Tanser
75′
🔁 J. Henderson
↦ Jordan Jones
79′
🔁 E. Erhahon
↦ A. Power
2–0 C. McGregor
81′
K. Dembélé 🔁
↦ Jota
84′
Karamoko Dembélé 🟨
86′
Y. Ideguchi 🔁
↦ C. McGregor
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
15 J. Hart G
4 C. Starfelt D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
88 J. Juranović D
3 G. Taylor D
42 C. McGregor M
33 M. O'Riley M
41 R. Hatate M
17 Jota F
38 D. Maeda F
11 L. Abada F
Bench (9)
18 T. Rogić
49 J. Forrest
6 N. Bitton
77 K. Dembélé
21 Y. Ideguchi
16 J. McCarthy
29 S. Bain
10 A. Ajeti
56 A. Ralston

Coach: A. Postecoglou

St Mirren

5-4-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
5 C. McCarthy D
6 A. Power M
13 A. Gogić M
7 Jordan Jones M
11 G. Kiltie M
10 C. Main F
Bench (7)
9 E. Brophy
21 A. Greive
22 M. Fraser
12 J. Henderson
16 E. Erhahon
26 D. Lyness
8 R. Flynn

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
8,45
B
20,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,45
U2,5 ✓
2,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.