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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
Celtic
S S S S S
3–2
Full-time
Dundee
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 49%
77%
20%
Points per game
2,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
58%
52%
Both score Ø 39%
38%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

81% Possession 19%
19 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Dundee 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 20 3 3 +42 63
2 Rangers 27 19 6 2 +34 63
3 Hearts 27 12 7 8 +7 43
4 Hibernian 27 9 7 11 -2 34
5 Dundee United 27 9 7 11 -6 34
6 Motherwell 27 9 7 11 -12 34
7 St Mirren 26 7 12 7 -9 33
8 Aberdeen 27 8 7 12 -2 31
9 Livingston 27 8 7 12 -8 31
10 Ross County 27 6 9 12 -8 27
11 ST Johnstone 27 5 8 14 -15 23
12 Dundee 25 5 6 14 -21 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Dundee
26′
D. Mullen 0–1
P. McMullan
1–1 G. Giakoumakis
34′
2–1 G. Giakoumakis
38′
Half-time 2–1
53′
🔁 N. McGinn
↦ J. Mulligan
53′
🔁 L. McCowan
↦ P. McMullan
60′
R. Sweeney 2–2
N. McGinn
L. Abada 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
67′
T. Rogić 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
67′
N. Bitton 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
79′
83′
🟨 Cammy Kerr
84′
🔁 L. Fontaine
↦ M. Anderson
3–2 G. Giakoumakis
A. Ralston
86′
Giorgos Giakoumakis 🟨
87′
90′
🔁 Z. Rudden
↦ Z. Rossi
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
15 J. Hart G
4 C. Starfelt D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
88 J. Juranović D
56 A. Ralston D
42 C. McGregor M
33 M. O'Riley M
41 R. Hatate M
7 G. Giakoumakis F
17 Jota F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
11 L. Abada
18 T. Rogić
6 N. Bitton
2 C. Jullien
3 G. Taylor
49 J. Forrest
77 K. Dembélé
29 S. Bain
21 Y. Ideguchi

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Dundee

5-3-2
21 I. Lawlor G
6 J. McGhee D
2 C. Kerr D
5 R. Sweeney D
22 V. Daley-Campbell D
35 Z. Rossi D
8 S. Byrne M
18 P. McMullan F
24 M. Anderson M
15 J. Mulligan M
9 D. Mullen F
Bench (9)
77 N. McGinn
17 L. McCowan
4 L. Fontaine
20 Z. Rudden
10 P. McGowan
30 H. Sharp
12 J. Chapman
19 F. Robertson
16 C. Elliott

Coach: J. McPake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
8,45
B
20,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,42
U2,5
2,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.