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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Motherwell
S T U T U
0–4
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Premiership · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 57%
38%
75%
Points per game
1,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
38%
54%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

30% Possession 70%
7 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 18 3 3 +37 57
2 Rangers 24 17 5 2 +27 56
3 Hearts 24 12 7 5 +14 43
4 Motherwell 24 9 6 9 -6 33
5 Hibernian 25 8 7 10 -2 31
6 Dundee United 25 8 6 11 -8 30
7 Aberdeen 24 8 5 11 -1 29
8 Livingston 25 8 5 12 -8 29
9 St Mirren 24 6 11 7 -10 29
10 Ross County 25 6 8 11 -6 26
11 ST Johnstone 24 4 7 13 -15 19
12 Dundee 24 4 6 14 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Celtic
28′
L. Abada 0–1
R. Hatate
31′
T. Rogić 0–2
L. Abada
Nathan McGinley 🟨
40′
45′
T. Rogić 0–3
L. Abada
Half-time 0–3
R. Tierney 🔁
↦ J. Carroll
46′
J. Efford 🔁
↦ S. Goss
46′
K. Woolery 🔁
↦ K. van Veen
46′
46′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ L. Abada
46′
🔁 N. Bitton
↦ R. Hatate
59′
🟨 Giorgos Giakoumakis
63′
🔁 Jota
↦ G. Giakoumakis
63′
🔁 M. O'Riley
↦ C. McGregor
71′
D. Maeda 0–4
M. O'Riley
80′
🔁 J. Juranović
↦ G. Taylor
V. Nirennold 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
81′
L. Grimshaw 🔁
↦ S. Johansen
82′
Bevis Mugabi 🟨
83′
Liam Donnelly 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-3
1 L. Kelly G
3 J. Carroll M
2 S. O'Donnell M
19 N. McGinley D
21 S. Johansen D
5 B. Mugabi D
22 L. Donnelly M
27 S. Goss F
16 C. Slattery F
18 D. Cornelius M
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
26 R. Tierney
20 J. Efford
7 K. Woolery
32 V. Nirennold
23 L. Grimshaw
28 J. Roberts
17 J. Amaluzor
12 S. Fox
14 J. Ojala

Coach: G. Alexander

Celtic

4-3-3
15 J. Hart G
4 C. Starfelt D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
56 A. Ralston D
3 G. Taylor D
42 C. McGregor M
18 T. Rogić M
41 R. Hatate M
7 G. Giakoumakis F
38 D. Maeda F
11 L. Abada F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
6 N. Bitton
17 Jota
33 M. O'Riley
88 J. Juranović
29 S. Bain
16 J. McCarthy
19 M. Johnston
57 S. Welsh

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,18
U
5,16
B ✓
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.