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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Hearts
U T T T S
2–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
46%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 55%
46%
64%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Aberdeen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 21 4 3 +43 67
2 Rangers 28 19 7 2 +34 64
3 Hearts 28 13 7 8 +9 46
4 Hibernian 28 9 8 11 -2 35
5 Dundee United 28 9 8 11 -6 35
6 Motherwell 28 9 8 11 -12 35
7 Livingston 28 9 7 12 -4 34
8 St Mirren 27 7 12 8 -11 33
9 Aberdeen 28 8 8 12 -2 32
10 Ross County 28 7 9 12 -6 30
11 ST Johnstone 28 5 8 15 -17 23
12 Dundee 27 5 6 16 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Aberdeen
37′
🟨 Scott Brown
1–0 J. Souttar
38′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ M. Kennedy
2–0 S. Kingsley
B. McKay
60′
Cameron Devlin 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 T. Jenks
↦ C. Barron
75′
🔁 D. McGeouch
↦ S. Brown
P. Haring 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
76′
J. Ginnelly 🔁
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
76′
76′
🔁 J. MacKenzie
↦ J. Hayes
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
3 S. Kingsley D
4 J. Souttar D
19 C. Halkett D
12 N. Atkinson D
11 G. Mackay-Steven M
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce M
18 B. McKay M
20 E. Simms F
Bench (9)
5 P. Haring
30 J. Ginnelly
16 A. Halliday
13 R. Stewart
9 B. Woodburn
15 T. Moore
17 A. Cochrane
21 T. Sibbick
8 A. McEneff

Coach: R. Neilson

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
5 D. Gallagher D
27 D. Bates D
8 S. Brown M
17 J. Hayes D
16 F. Ojo D
33 M. Kennedy M
19 L. Ferguson M
29 C. Barron M
9 C. Ramírez F
10 V. Besuijen M
Bench (7)
18 C. McLennan
20 T. Jenks
15 D. McGeouch
3 J. MacKenzie
25 G. Woods
28 M. Ruth
39 J. Milne

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,19
B
3,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.