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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
ST Johnstone
U S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Hearts
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
15%
46%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
31%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
46%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Hearts 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 20 3 3 +42 63
2 Rangers 26 19 5 2 +34 62
3 Hearts 26 12 7 7 +8 43
4 Dundee United 26 9 6 11 -6 33
5 Motherwell 26 9 6 11 -12 33
6 St Mirren 25 7 11 7 -9 32
7 Hibernian 26 8 7 11 -4 31
8 Aberdeen 26 8 6 12 -2 30
9 Livingston 26 8 6 12 -8 30
10 Ross County 26 6 9 11 -6 27
11 Dundee 25 5 6 14 -21 21
12 ST Johnstone 26 4 8 14 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Jan -22 Hearts – ST Johnstone 2–0 27. Oct -21 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–1 1. Feb -20 ST Johnstone – Hearts 3–3 14. Dec -19 Hearts – ST Johnstone 0–1 30. Oct -19 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–0

Match report

ST Johnstone Hearts
1–0 A. Crawford ⚽
M. Hallberg
1′
6′
⚽ N. Atkinson 1–1
Callum Hendry 🟨
36′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Mccart ⚽
M. Hallberg
56′
65′
🔁 A. Halliday
↦ C. Devlin
65′
🔁 G. Mackay-Steven
↦ A. Cochrane
65′
🔁 B. Woodburn
↦ J. Ginnelly
C. Gilmour 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
74′
N. Çiftçi 🔁
↦ C. Hendry
78′
J. Butterfield 🔁
↦ A. Crawford
78′
T. Bair 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
87′
Jacob Luke Butterfield 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
12 E. Parish G
5 D. Cleary D
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
3 T. Gallacher M
27 T. Sang M
8 M. Davidson M
21 A. Crawford F
29 M. Hallberg M
14 G. Middleton F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
15 C. Gilmour
23 N. Çiftçi
34 J. Butterfield
17 T. Bair
20 R. Sinclair
11 M. O'Halloran
7 S. May
16 J. Mahon
2 J. Brown

Coach: C. Davidson

Hearts

3-4-3
13 R. Stewart G
3 S. Kingsley D
4 J. Souttar D
17 A. Cochrane M
21 T. Sibbick D
12 N. Atkinson M
5 P. Haring M
14 C. Devlin M
18 B. McKay F
30 J. Ginnelly F
20 E. Simms F
Bench (8)
16 A. Halliday
11 G. Mackay-Steven
9 B. Woodburn
15 T. Moore
39 L. MacFarlane
38 F. Pollock
8 A. McEneff
6 B. Baningime

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,23
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B
1,90
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,32
🔒
U2,5
1,59
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.