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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
Celtic
T S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Livingston
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 71%
94%
47%
Points per game
2,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
75%
47%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
47%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
3,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

77% Possession 23%
23 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Livingston 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 16 15 0 1 +38 45
2 Rangers 17 12 3 2 +22 39
3 Aberdeen 17 8 1 8 +4 25
4 Hearts 16 7 3 6 +1 24
5 ST Johnstone 17 7 3 7 -1 24
6 Livingston 15 7 2 6 -5 23
7 St Mirren 15 6 3 6 -6 21
8 Hibernian 17 6 2 9 -6 20
9 Motherwell 16 5 2 9 -2 17
10 Ross County 17 4 3 10 -14 15
11 Kilmarnock 17 4 3 10 -17 15
12 Dundee United 16 3 3 10 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Livingston
0–1 A. Obileye ⚽
own goal
23′
1–1 K. Furuhashi ⚽
L. Abada
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Boyes
↦ A. Obileye
47′
⚽ N. Devlin 1–2
47′
🟨 Stephane Omeonga
A. Bernabei 🔁
↦ A. Ralston
56′
57′
🟨 Cristian Montano
Kyogo Furuhashi 🟨
62′
S. Hakšabanović 🔁
↦ Jota
64′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
64′
69′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ C. Montaño
69′
🔁 J. Holt
↦ S. Kelly
70′
🔁 S. Pittman
↦ S. Oméonga
Liel Abada ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
74′
76′
🔁 Esmaël Gonçalves
↦ B. Anderson
77′
🟨 Morgan Boyes
A. Mooy 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
82′
G. Giakoumakis 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
82′
Alexandro Bernabei 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
11 L. Abada F
8 K. Furuhashi F
17 Jota F
Bench (9)
25 A. Bernabei
9 S. Hakšabanović
14 D. Turnbull
13 A. Mooy
7 G. Giakoumakis
49 J. Forrest
38 D. Maeda
6 M. Jenz
31 B. Siegrist

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Livingston

5-4-1
31 I. Konovalov G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
6 A. Obileye D
3 J. Longridge D
11 C. Montaño D
17 S. Kelly M
33 S. Oméonga M
24 S. Kelly M
29 J. Penrice M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
15 M. Boyes
22 A. Shinnie
18 J. Holt
8 S. Pittman
10 Esmaël Gonçalves
7 D. Bahamboula
25 P. Čančar
32 J. Hamilton
19 J. Nouble

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,11
U
8,82
B
20,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,34
U2,5
3,08
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.