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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Livingston
S T T S U
0–3
Full-time
Celtic
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 68%
45%
91%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
36%
73%
Both score Ø 41%
36%
45%
Average goals
2,0
4,4
Scored
0,8
3,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

25% Possession 75%
4 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 8. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 11 10 0 1 +30 30
2 Rangers 12 9 2 1 +20 29
3 Hibernian 13 6 2 5 +1 20
4 Aberdeen 12 6 1 5 +3 19
5 St Mirren 12 6 1 5 -5 19
6 Motherwell 13 5 1 7 +0 16
7 ST Johnstone 13 5 1 7 -3 16
8 Livingston 11 5 1 5 -4 16
9 Hearts 11 4 2 5 -2 14
10 Kilmarnock 13 3 3 7 -11 12
11 Ross County 12 2 3 7 -14 9
12 Dundee United 13 2 3 8 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -22 Livingston – Celtic 1–3 30. Oct -21 Celtic – Livingston 0–0 19. Sep -21 Livingston – Celtic 1–0 10. Apr -21 Celtic – Livingston 6–0 20. Jan -21 Livingston – Celtic 2–2

Match report

Livingston Celtic
9′
⚽ K. Furuhashi 0–1
G. Taylor
27′
🟨 Cameron Carter-Vickers
Half-time 0–2
53′
⚽ G. Taylor 0–2
Jackson Longridge 🟨
56′
A. Shinnie 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
63′
67′
🔁 L. Abada
↦ J. Forrest
67′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ M. ORiley
73′
🟨 Moritz Jenz
S. Oméonga 🔁
↦ J. Penrice
74′
Andrew Shinnie 🟨
78′
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
78′
80′
🔁 Jota
↦ S. Hakšabanović
80′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ K. Furuhashi
80′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ R. Hatate
83′
ℹ️ Giorgos Giakoumakis
VAR: Penalty confirmed
87′
⚽ Jota 0–3
D. Turnbull
88′
🟨 Greg Taylor
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Livingston

3-5-1-1
32 J. Hamilton G
5 J. Fitzwater D
6 A. Obileye D
24 S. Kelly D
2 N. Devlin M
8 S. Pittman M
18 J. Holt M
29 J. Penrice M
3 J. Longridge M
17 S. Kelly F
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (6)
22 A. Shinnie
33 S. Oméonga
9 B. Anderson
31 I. Konovalov
10 Esmaël Gonçalves
7 D. Bahamboula

Coach: D. Martindale

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 M. Jenz D
3 G. Taylor D
13 A. Mooy M
33 M. O'Riley M
41 R. Hatate M
49 J. Forrest F
8 K. Furuhashi F
9 S. Hakšabanović F
Bench (9)
11 L. Abada
14 D. Turnbull
17 Jota
7 G. Giakoumakis
28 O. Abildgaard
25 A. Bernabei
31 B. Siegrist
88 J. Juranović
38 D. Maeda

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,49
🔒
U
5,64
🔒
B ✓
1,27
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,60
🔒
U2,5
2,30
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.