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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Motherwell
T S T T U
2–2
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 28%
31%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
47%
Both score Ø 49%
56%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Kilmarnock 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 16 0 1 +39 48
2 Rangers 18 13 3 2 +23 42
3 Aberdeen 17 8 1 8 +4 25
4 Hearts 16 7 3 6 +1 24
5 ST Johnstone 17 7 3 7 -1 24
6 Livingston 16 7 2 7 -6 23
7 St Mirren 15 6 3 6 -6 21
8 Hibernian 17 6 2 9 -6 20
9 Motherwell 16 5 2 9 -2 17
10 Ross County 18 4 3 11 -15 15
11 Kilmarnock 17 4 3 10 -17 15
12 Dundee United 16 3 3 10 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Kilmarnock
1–0 K. van Veen
B. Spittal
22′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Polworth
↦ B. Wales
46′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ L. Donnelly
Matt Penney 🟨
59′
2–0 C. Slattery
60′
62′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ Jordan Jones
68′
🟥 Alan Power
73′
P. McGinn 3–0
own goal
Callum Slattery 🟨
74′
75′
L. Polworth 3–1
L. Mayo
78′
🔁 B. Alston
↦ D. Armstrong
R. Tierney 🔁
↦ S. McKinstry
86′
D. Cornelius 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
86′
86′
🔁 C. Stokes
↦ B. Chrisene
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
16 P. McGinn D
4 R. Lamie D
24 M. Penney D
8 C. Slattery M
27 S. Goss M
7 B. Spittal M
29 C. Shields F
9 K. van Veen F
17 S. McKinstry F
Bench (7)
26 R. Tierney
18 D. Cornelius
6 B. Maguire
23 J. Morris
38 L. Miller
47 L. Ross
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Hammell

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
33 B. Chrisene D
11 D. Armstrong M
4 A. Power M
22 L. Donnelly M
10 Jordan Jones M
26 C. Doidge F
29 B. Wales F
Bench (9)
31 L. Polworth
7 R. McKenzie
16 S. Robinson
8 B. Alston
6 C. Stokes
1 Z. Hemming
21 K. McInroy
15 F. Murray
25 R. Alebiosu

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U ✓
3,43
B
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.