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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

Hearts

T T S S T

3–2

Full-time

Motherwell

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

This season — Premiership · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 40%

42%

38%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

62%

Both score Ø 52%

58%

46%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 10

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 11

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 8. · Motherwell 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	12	0	1	+35	36
2	Rangers	13	9	2	2	+19	29
3	Aberdeen	13	7	1	5	+6	22
4	Hibernian	14	6	2	6	-2	20
5	ST Johnstone	14	6	1	7	-2	19
6	St Mirren	13	6	1	6	-6	19
7	Livingston	13	6	1	6	-6	19
8	Hearts	12	5	2	5	-1	17
9	Motherwell	13	5	1	7	+0	16
10	Kilmarnock	14	3	3	8	-12	12
11	Ross County	14	3	3	8	-14	12
12	Dundee United	14	2	3	9	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Celtic	6	6	0	0	+16	18
3	St Mirren	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Aberdeen	6	5	0	1	+15	15
5	Hibernian	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Livingston	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Kilmarnock	7	3	2	2	-3	11
8	ST Johnstone	7	3	1	3	+2	10
9	Hearts	5	3	0	2	+0	9
10	Ross County	8	2	2	4	-8	8
11	Dundee United	7	2	0	5	-10	6
12	Motherwell	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	+19	18
2	Motherwell	7	4	0	3	+5	12
3	Rangers	6	3	1	2	+1	10
4	ST Johnstone	7	3	0	4	-4	9
5	Hearts	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Livingston	6	2	1	3	-5	7
7	Aberdeen	7	2	1	4	-9	7
8	Hibernian	7	2	0	5	-8	6
9	Ross County	6	1	1	4	-6	4
10	Dundee United	7	0	3	4	-7	3
11	St Mirren	6	1	0	5	-11	3
12	Kilmarnock	7	0	1	6	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.