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Premiership

Referee: A Muir

Kilmarnock

T T T U T

4–1

Full-time

Motherwell

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 25%

22%

28%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

34%

47%

Both score Ø 40%

38%

41%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 12. · Motherwell 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	32	28	4	0	+68	88
2	Celtic	32	20	8	4	+42	68
3	Hibernian	32	16	7	9	+13	55
4	Aberdeen	32	13	10	9	+2	49
5	Livingston	32	12	7	13	-1	43
6	ST Johnstone	33	10	10	13	-6	40
7	St Mirren	32	10	9	13	-8	39
8	Dundee United	32	8	12	12	-15	36
9	Motherwell	32	9	8	15	-16	35
10	Ross County	33	8	5	20	-33	29
11	Hamilton	32	6	8	18	-29	26
12	Kilmarnock	32	7	4	21	-17	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	16	16	0	0	+45	48
2	Celtic	16	11	3	2	+20	36
3	Aberdeen	17	9	4	4	+6	31
4	Hibernian	16	6	5	5	+0	23
5	Livingston	16	6	3	7	-1	21
6	Dundee United	16	5	5	6	-2	20
7	ST Johnstone	16	5	4	7	-5	19
8	St Mirren	17	4	7	6	-7	19
9	Ross County	17	4	4	9	-15	16
10	Kilmarnock	15	4	3	8	-3	15
11	Motherwell	16	4	3	9	-13	15
12	Hamilton	15	2	5	8	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	16	12	4	0	+23	40
2	Celtic	16	9	5	2	+22	32
3	Hibernian	16	10	2	4	+13	32
4	Livingston	16	6	4	6	+0	22
5	ST Johnstone	17	5	6	6	-1	21
6	St Mirren	15	6	2	7	-1	20
7	Motherwell	16	5	5	6	-3	20
8	Aberdeen	15	4	6	5	-4	18
9	Dundee United	16	3	7	6	-13	16
10	Hamilton	17	4	3	10	-17	15
11	Ross County	16	4	1	11	-18	13
12	Kilmarnock	17	3	1	13	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.