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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Dundee United
S U T T T
4–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 18%
14%
21%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 12. · Kilmarnock 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 12 0 1 +35 36
2 Rangers 13 9 2 2 +19 29
3 Aberdeen 14 7 1 6 +5 22
4 Livingston 14 7 1 6 -5 22
5 Hearts 13 6 2 5 +0 20
6 Hibernian 15 6 2 7 -4 20
7 ST Johnstone 14 6 1 7 -2 19
8 St Mirren 13 6 1 6 -6 19
9 Motherwell 14 5 1 8 -1 16
10 Ross County 15 4 3 8 -12 15
11 Kilmarnock 14 3 3 8 -12 12
12 Dundee United 14 2 3 9 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Kilmarnock
1–0 K. Freeman
R. Graham
11′
2–0 J. McGrath
23′
3–0 G. Middleton
29′
34′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ Jordan Jones
34′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ R. Alebiosu
34′
🔁 A. Power
↦ B. Alston
Half-time 3–0
66′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
S. McMann 🔁
↦ A. Behich
67′
4–0 D. Levitt
J. McGrath
73′
S. Anaku 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
75′
C. Sibbald 🔁
↦ A. Djoum
76′
76′
🔁 B. Wales
↦ C. Doidge
76′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ L. Donnelly
A. Meekison 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
86′
I. Niskanen 🔁
↦ K. Freeman
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 M. Birighitti G
2 L. Smith D
12 R. Edwards D
6 R. Graham D
22 K. Freeman M
10 A. Djoum M
19 D. Levitt M
16 A. Behich M
18 J. McGrath F
15 G. Middleton F
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
3 S. McMann
20 S. Anaku
14 C. Sibbald
17 A. Meekison
7 I. Niskanen
13 C. Eriksson
32 T. Watt
8 P. Pawlett
23 I. Harkes

Coach: L. Fox

Kilmarnock

4-2-2-2
1 Z. Hemming G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
21 K. McInroy D
22 L. Donnelly M
8 B. Alston M
25 R. Alebiosu M
10 Jordan Jones M
11 D. Armstrong F
26 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
7 R. McKenzie
27 I. Cameron
4 A. Power
29 B. Wales
15 F. Murray
3 J. Dorsett
31 L. Polworth
9 O. Shaw
20 S. Walker

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,41
U
3,22
B
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.