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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Dundee
S T U T S
0–3
Full-time
Celtic
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 16/19 matches
Win Ø 53%
31%
74%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
68%
Both score Ø 49%
44%
53%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,3
2,4
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
5 Shots 38
1 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 15
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 23
1 Offside 3
3 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 7. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 19 14 3 2 +31 45
2 Rangers 18 14 1 3 +29 43
3 Hearts 18 9 2 7 +4 29
4 Kilmarnock 19 7 6 6 +2 27
5 St Mirren 19 7 5 7 -3 26
6 Hibernian 18 6 6 6 -2 24
7 Dundee 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 19 4 6 9 -14 18
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 19 3 7 9 -11 16
12 Livingston 18 2 5 11 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Sep -23 Celtic – Dundee 3–0 20. Feb -22 Celtic – Dundee 3–2 7. Nov -21 Dundee – Celtic 2–4 8. Aug -21 Celtic – Dundee 6–0

Match report

Dundee Celtic
13′
🟨 Liam Scales
Half-time 0–1
52′
⚽ Paulo Bernardo 0–1
L. Palma
55′
🔁 S. Welsh
↦ C. Carter-Vickers
66′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ K. Furuhashi
66′
🔁 Yang Hyun-Jun
↦ D. Maeda
Z. Robinson 🔁
↦ A. Bakayoko
69′
S. Tiffoney 🔁
↦ Z. Rudden
69′
F. Robertson 🔁
↦ L. Cameron
73′
79′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ L. Palma
83′
⚽ M. Johnston 0–2
L. Scales
R. Howley 🔁
↦ Z. Robinson
84′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ M. Boateng
85′
Owen Beck 🟨
86′
91′
⚽ M. Johnston 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Dundee

3-5-2
31 T. Carson G
6 J. McGhee D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
25 A. Donnelly D
2 C. Kerr M
10 L. Cameron M
23 M. Boateng M
17 L. McCowan M
3 O. Beck M
9 A. Bakayoko F
20 Z. Rudden F
Bench (9)
16 Z. Robinson
7 S. Tiffoney
19 F. Robertson
21 R. Howley
28 M. Sylla
14 L. Ashcroft
1 A. Legzdiņš
15 J. Mulligan
11 D. Pineda

Coach: T. Docherty

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
38 D. Maeda F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
57 S. Welsh
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
90 M. Johnston
22 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
29 S. Bain
14 D. Turnbull
56 A. Ralston
49 J. Forrest

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,55
🔒
U
5,74
🔒
B ✓
1,28
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,50
🔒
U2,5
2,52
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.