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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Dundee
U U S T S
4–0
Full-time
St Mirren
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 6. · St Mirren 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 10 2 0 +21 32
2 Rangers 11 8 0 3 +18 24
3 St Mirren 11 5 4 2 +4 19
4 Kilmarnock 12 4 4 4 +1 16
5 Hearts 11 4 2 5 -1 14
6 Dundee 11 3 5 3 -5 14
7 Aberdeen 10 3 3 4 +0 12
8 Hibernian 12 2 6 4 -3 12
9 Motherwell 12 3 3 6 -5 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 2 5 5 -10 11
11 Ross County 12 2 4 6 -10 10
12 Livingston 12 2 4 6 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Aug -23 St Mirren – Dundee 2–1 7. May -22 St Mirren – Dundee 2–0 9. Mar -22 Dundee – St Mirren 0–1 30. Oct -21 St Mirren – Dundee 0–1 31. Jul -21 Dundee – St Mirren 2–2

Match report

Dundee St Mirren
1–0 A. Bakayoko ⚽
16′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Dunne
↦ R. Taylor
46′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ G. Kiltie
46′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ M. Mandron
46′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ C. McMenamin
2–0 Z. Rudden ⚽
47′
3–0 A. Bakayoko ⚽
57′
71′
🔁 T. Small
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
Jordan McGhee 🟨
76′
Z. Robinson 🔁
↦ Z. Rudden
81′
4–0 Z. Robinson ⚽
L. McCowan
85′
88′
🟨 Keanu Baccus
R. Howley 🔁
↦ L. Cameron
89′
C. Kerr 🔁
↦ J. McGhee
89′
D. Pineda 🔁
↦ A. Bakayoko
93′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Dundee

3-5-2
31 T. Carson G
29 A. Portales D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
12 R. Lamie D
6 J. McGhee M
10 L. Cameron M
23 M. Boateng M
17 L. McCowan M
3 O. Beck M
9 A. Bakayoko F
20 Z. Rudden F
Bench (9)
16 Z. Robinson
21 R. Howley
2 C. Kerr
11 D. Pineda
19 F. Robertson
28 M. Sylla
18 C. Reilly
25 A. Donnelly
1 A. Legzdiņš

Coach: T. Docherty

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
18 C. Dunne
21 A. Greive
20 T. Olusanya
24 L. Jamieson
16 T. Small
27 P. Urminský
2 J. Bolton
8 R. Flynn
19 S. Nahmani

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B
3,22
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,09
🔒
U2,5
1,72
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.