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Serie B

Referee: G Ayroldi

Brescia

U S U S S

0–2

Full-time

Parma

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 47%

33%

61%

Points per game

1,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

28%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 10

0 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

5 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 9. · Parma 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	18	11	5	2	+18	38
2	Venezia	18	10	4	4	+11	34
3	Cremonese	18	9	5	4	+13	32
4	Cittadella	18	9	5	4	+5	32
5	Como	18	9	5	4	+3	32
6	Catanzaro	19	9	3	7	+4	30
7	Palermo	18	8	5	5	+8	29
8	Modena	18	7	6	5	-3	27
9	Brescia	18	6	7	5	+2	25
10	Sampdoria	18	7	3	8	-1	24
11	Reggiana	19	5	8	6	-3	23
12	Bari	18	4	10	4	-2	22
13	Cosenza	18	5	6	7	-1	21
14	Pisa	18	5	6	7	-3	21
15	Sudtirol	18	5	5	8	-1	20
16	Ternana	18	4	5	9	-4	17
17	Lecco	18	4	5	9	-10	17
18	Ascoli	18	4	4	10	-7	16
19	Spezia	18	3	7	8	-11	16
20	FeralpiSalo	18	3	4	11	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	6	4	0	+10	22
2	Venezia	10	6	2	2	+6	20
3	Cittadella	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Como	9	5	3	1	+3	18
5	Catanzaro	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Cremonese	10	4	3	3	+6	15
7	Modena	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Palermo	9	4	1	4	+2	13
9	Cosenza	9	3	3	3	+4	12
10	Sampdoria	9	4	0	5	+0	12
11	Brescia	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Reggiana	10	2	6	2	-1	12
13	Bari	9	2	6	1	-1	12
14	Ascoli	8	3	1	4	+1	10
15	Pisa	9	2	4	3	-1	10
16	Sudtirol	9	2	3	4	+0	9
17	Ternana	9	2	3	4	+0	9
18	Spezia	8	1	4	3	-2	7
19	Lecco	8	2	1	5	-5	7
20	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	Parma	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Palermo	9	4	4	1	+6	16
4	Venezia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Catanzaro	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Brescia	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Modena	9	3	4	2	-2	13
9	Cittadella	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Sampdoria	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Sudtirol	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Reggiana	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Pisa	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Bari	9	2	4	3	-1	10
15	Lecco	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Cosenza	9	2	3	4	-5	9
17	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Ternana	9	2	2	5	-4	8
19	FeralpiSalo	10	2	2	6	-11	8
20	Ascoli	10	1	3	6	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.