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Premiership
Referee: I Snedden
Motherwell
T T U T U
3–3
Full-time
Dundee
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 26%
21%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 51%
64%
38%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Dundee 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 11 3 0 +27 36
2 Rangers 13 9 1 3 +20 28
3 St Mirren 14 6 4 4 +0 22
4 Hearts 13 6 2 5 +1 20
5 Hibernian 14 4 6 4 -1 18
6 Kilmarnock 14 4 5 5 +0 17
7 Dundee 13 4 5 4 -2 17
8 Ross County 14 3 5 6 -9 14
9 Motherwell 14 3 4 7 -6 13
10 Aberdeen 12 3 4 5 -6 13
11 ST Johnstone 13 2 5 6 -11 11
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Dundee
1–0 M. Biereth
6′
30′
L. Cameron 1–1
A. Donnelly
34′
O. Beck 1–2
Z. Rudden
Calum Butcher 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
Dan Casey 🟨
49′
C. Wilkinson 🔁
↦ C. Butcher
61′
2–2 B. Mugabi
B. Spittal
68′
G. Gent 🔁
↦ S. ODonnell
70′
T. Bair 🔁
↦ J. Obika
70′
Harrison Paton ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
71′
Harrison Paton 🟥
72′
80′
🟨 Malachi Boateng
81′
🔁 S. Tiffoney
↦ J. McGhee
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
86′
86′
🔁 Z. Robinson
↦ Z. Rudden
86′
🔁 J. Mulligan
↦ L. Cameron
88′
Z. Robinson 2–3
Conor Wilkinson 🟨
95′
96′
🟨 Luke McCowan
3–3 C. Wilkinson
O. Shaw
97′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-1-4-2
1 L. Kelly G
15 D. Casey D
5 B. Mugabi D
20 S. Blaney D
66 C. Butcher M
2 S. O'Donnell M
12 H. Paton M
7 B. Spittal M
22 B. Spencer M
9 J. Obika F
24 M. Biereth F
Bench (9)
99 C. Wilkinson
3 G. Gent
14 T. Bair
18 O. Shaw
13 A. Oxborough
46 M. Ross
17 D. Zdravkovski
37 D. Wells
39 L. Ross

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Dundee

3-5-2
31 T. Carson G
29 A. Portales D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
25 A. Donnelly D
6 J. McGhee M
10 L. Cameron M
23 M. Boateng M
17 L. McCowan M
3 O. Beck M
9 A. Bakayoko F
20 Z. Rudden F
Bench (9)
7 S. Tiffoney
16 Z. Robinson
15 J. Mulligan
1 A. Legzdiņš
14 L. Ashcroft
21 R. Howley
28 M. Sylla
2 C. Kerr
19 F. Robertson

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,33
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Snedden · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.