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Serie B
Referee: A Giua
Spezia
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Modena
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
39%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
56%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 19. · Modena 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 18 11 5 2 +18 38
2 Venezia 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Cremonese 18 9 5 4 +13 32
4 Cittadella 18 9 5 4 +5 32
5 Como 18 9 5 4 +3 32
6 Catanzaro 19 9 3 7 +4 30
7 Palermo 18 8 5 5 +8 29
8 Modena 18 7 6 5 -3 27
9 Brescia 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Sampdoria 18 7 3 8 -1 24
11 Reggiana 19 5 8 6 -3 23
12 Bari 18 4 10 4 -2 22
13 Cosenza 18 5 6 7 -1 21
14 Pisa 18 5 6 7 -3 21
15 Sudtirol 18 5 5 8 -1 20
16 Ternana 18 4 5 9 -4 17
17 Lecco 18 4 5 9 -10 17
18 Ascoli 18 4 4 10 -7 16
19 Spezia 18 3 7 8 -11 16
20 FeralpiSalo 18 3 4 11 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Modena
Pietro Candelari 🟨
1′
7′
🟨 Luca Magnino
Rachid Kouda 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Gerli
↦ J. Manconi
48′
🟨 Edoardo Duca
M. Antonucci 🔁
↦ P. Candelari
54′
54′
🔁 S. Oukhadda
↦ F. Ponsi
64′
A. Palumbo 0–1
66′
🟨 Matteo Cotali
70′
🔁 T. Battistella
↦ L. Tremolada
70′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ D. Falcinelli
L. Moro 🔁
↦ R. Kouda
72′
S. Żurkowski 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
84′
R. Krollis 🔁
↦ S. Elia
84′
1–1 I. Gelashvili
S. Esposito
92′
94′
🔁 A. Riccio
↦ E. Duca
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Spezia

3-4-2-1
1 J. Zoet G
27 K. Amian D
33 I. Gelashvili D
43 D. Nikolaou D
99 D. Verde M
25 F. Bandinelli M
10 S. Esposito M
7 S. Elia M
80 R. Kouda F
36 P. Candelari F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
48 M. Antonucci
24 L. Moro
17 S. Żurkowski
19 R. Krollis
15 N. Pietra
77 N. Bertola
23 L. Mühl
21 G. Corradini
26 C. Cugnata
11 T. Cipot
69 B. Drągowski
40 P. Zovko

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Modena

4-3-3
26 R. Gagno G
3 F. Ponsi D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
29 M. Cotali D
6 L. Magnino M
5 A. Palumbo M
7 E. Duca M
10 L. Tremolada F
11 D. Falcinelli F
17 J. Manconi F
Bench (12)
16 F. Gerli
99 S. Oukhadda
23 T. Battistella
32 L. Strizzolo
27 A. Riccio
30 K. Bozhanaj
9 N. Bonfanti
8 A. Guiébré
12 A. Seculin
21 R. Giovannini
4 A. Pergreffi
90 F. Abiuso

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,19
B
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.