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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Hearts
T S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Livingston
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
30%
20%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
30%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
30%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%
24 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
12 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 7. · Livingston 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 10 8 2 0 +17 26
2 Rangers 10 7 0 3 +13 21
3 St Mirren 9 5 3 1 +5 18
4 Kilmarnock 10 3 4 3 +1 13
5 Dundee 9 2 5 2 -1 11
6 Motherwell 9 3 2 4 -2 11
7 Hearts 10 3 2 5 -2 11
8 Hibernian 11 2 5 4 -3 11
9 Ross County 10 2 4 4 -6 10
10 Livingston 10 2 4 4 -8 10
11 Aberdeen 9 2 3 4 -2 9
12 ST Johnstone 9 0 4 5 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Livingston
Beni Baningime 🟨
40′
Cameron Devlin 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
J. Grant 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
46′
Y. Oda 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
62′
63′
🟨 James Penrice
64′
🟨 Jason Holt
68′
🔁 J. Brandon
↦ S. Kelly
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
69′
C. Nieuwenhof 🔁
↦ B. Baningime
76′
78′
🟨 Andrew Shinnie
1–0 K. Vargas
J. Grant
79′
81′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ A. Shinnie
82′
🔁 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
↦ J. Holt
89′
🔁 D. Mackay
↦ M. Welch-Hayes
90′
🟨 Bruce Anderson
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ A. Lowry
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
17 A. Forrest M
14 C. Devlin M
6 B. Baningime M
51 A. Lowry M
19 A. Cochrane M
9 L. Shankland F
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (9)
7 J. Grant
11 Y. Oda
77 K. Vargas
8 C. Nieuwenhof
16 A. Halliday
29 O. Offiah
21 T. Sibbick
5 P. Haring
12 M. McGovern

Coach: S. Naismith

Livingston

4-3-1-2
32 J. Hamilton G
14 M. Welch-Hayes D
5 M. Devlin D
24 S. Kelly D
29 J. Penrice D
22 A. Shinnie M
20 M. Sangare M
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
19 J. Nouble F
10 S. Kelly F
Bench (9)
12 J. Brandon
9 B. Anderson
25 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
11 D. Mackay
4 T. Parkes
16 S. Bradley
23 L. de Lucas
1 S. George
40 S. Lawal

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,80
B
5,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.