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Referee: N Walsh

S T T T S

4–3

Full-time

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Premiership · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

47%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

80%

33%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

53%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

8 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 5. · Dundee United 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	14	1	0	+40	43
2	Aberdeen	16	10	4	2	+12	34
3	Rangers	15	10	2	3	+18	32
4	Dundee United	15	6	6	3	+7	24
5	Motherwell	15	7	1	7	-5	22
6	Dundee	16	5	4	7	-2	19
7	St Mirren	16	5	3	8	-7	18
8	Ross County	16	3	6	7	-18	15
9	ST Johnstone	16	4	2	10	-11	14
10	Kilmarnock	16	3	5	8	-17	14
11	Hearts	16	3	4	9	-7	13
12	Hibernian	16	2	6	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	8	7	1	0	+18	22
2	Aberdeen	9	7	1	1	+10	22
3	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+19	19
4	Dundee United	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	St Mirren	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Dundee	8	4	1	3	+6	13
7	Ross County	9	3	3	3	-1	12
8	Motherwell	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	Hearts	8	2	3	3	+1	9
10	Hibernian	8	1	4	3	-2	7
11	Kilmarnock	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	ST Johnstone	7	2	0	5	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Aberdeen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
3	Motherwell	8	4	0	4	-2	12
4	Dundee United	7	2	4	1	+1	10
5	Rangers	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	ST Johnstone	9	2	2	5	-5	8
7	Kilmarnock	10	2	2	6	-13	8
8	Dundee	8	1	3	4	-8	6
9	Hibernian	8	1	2	5	-8	5
10	Hearts	8	1	1	6	-8	4
11	St Mirren	7	1	1	5	-9	4
12	Ross County	7	0	3	4	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -24 Dundee United – Motherwell 1–2 28. May -23 Motherwell – Dundee United 3–2 15. Apr -23 Motherwell – Dundee United 1–2 29. Oct -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 0–1 3. Sep -22 Motherwell – Dundee United 0–0

Match report

Motherwell Dundee United

1–0 A. Stamatelopoulos ⚽

M. Kaleta

1′

3′

🟨 David Babunski

5′

ℹ️ Louis Moult

VAR: Penalty confirmed

7′

⚽ S. Dalby 1–1

2–1 A. Halliday ⚽

H. Paton

33′

3–1 A. Stamatelopoulos ⚽

T. Maswanhise

40′

Liam Gordon 🟨

45′

45′

🟨 Vicko Ševelj

Half-time 3–1

48′

🟨 Declan Gallagher

54′

⚽ S. Dalby 3–2

E. Wilson 🔁

↦ H. Paton

58′

58′

🔁 J. van der Sande

↦ D. Babunski

T. Sparrow 🔁

↦ A. Halliday

59′

4–2 T. Sparrow ⚽

A. Stamatelopoulos

67′

S. O'Donnell 🔁

↦ M. Kaleta

69′

M. Ebiye 🔁

↦ T. Maswanhise

70′

Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 🟨

75′

75′

🔁 K. Trapanovski

↦ D. Gallagher

S. Nicholson 🔁

↦ A. Stamatelopoulos

82′

82′

🔁 K. Fotheringham

↦ L. Stephenson

87′

⚽ L. Moult 4–3

R. Strain

Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-5-1-1

13 A. Oxborough G

15 D. Casey D

4 L. Gordon D

20 S. Blaney D

21 M. Kaleta M

11 A. Halliday M

38

L. Miller M

12 H. Paton M

3 S. Seddon M

55

T. Maswanhise F

14

A. Stamatelopoulos F

Bench (9)

23 E. Wilson

7 T. Sparrow

2 S. O'Donnell

24 M. Ebiye

19 S. Nicholson

1 K. Hegyi

6 D. Zdravkovski

5 K. Balmer

90 Jair Tavares

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Dundee United

3-5-2

1

J. Walton G

16 E. Adegboyega D

31 D. Gallagher D

4 K. Holt D

2

R. Strain M

17

L. Stephenson M

5

V. Ševelj M

10 D. Babunski M

15 G. Middleton M

19

S. Dalby F

9 L. Moult F

Bench (9)

20 J. van der Sande

7 K. Trapanovski

18 K. Fotheringham

70 M. Ubochioma

6 R. Graham

25 D. Richards

42 O. Stirton

12 R. Odada

29 M. Thomson

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

2,45

🔒

U

3,30

🔒

B

2,85

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

2,03

🔒

U2,5

1,77

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

7. Dec PL 1 year ago

4. Dec PL 1 year ago

30. Nov PL 1 year ago

23. Nov PL 1 year ago

9. Nov PL 1 year ago

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,1 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

23,6 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.