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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
Schalke 04
U S U T S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
27%
47%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
73%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
3,9
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 10
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 14. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 15 7 6 2 +6 27
2 Kaiserslautern 15 7 5 3 +8 26
3 Hannover 15 8 2 5 +6 26
4 Karlsruhe 16 7 5 4 +2 26
5 Elversberg 15 7 4 4 +9 25
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 7 4 4 +8 25
7 FC Koln 15 7 4 4 +6 25
8 Hamburg 15 6 6 3 +11 24
9 Magdeburg 15 6 6 3 +3 24
10 Darmstadt 15 5 6 4 +4 21
11 Hertha 16 6 3 7 +0 21
12 Nurnberg 15 5 4 6 +2 19
13 Greuther Furth 15 4 5 6 -5 17
14 Schalke 04 15 4 4 7 -4 16
15 Preußen Münster 16 3 6 7 -5 15
16 Braunschweig 15 3 4 8 -16 13
17 Ulm 15 2 6 7 -4 12
18 Regensburg 16 2 2 12 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Fortuna Dusseldorf
37′
🟨 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Giovanni Haag
54′
🟨 Valgeir Lunddal
58′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ V. Lunddal Friðriksson
62′
D. Kownacki 0–1
1–1 M. Sylla
C. Antwi-Adjei
72′
E. Højlund 🔁
↦ M. Aydın
73′
74′
🟨 Marcel Sobottka
I. Hamache 🔁
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
74′
74′
🔁 M. Zimmermann
↦ G. Haag
A. Gantenbein 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
82′
85′
🔁 D. Pejčinović
↦ M. van Brederode
85′
🔁 J. Quarshie
↦ M. Sobottka
85′
🔁 T. Rossmann
↦ E. Iyoha
Janik Bachmann 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
28 J. Heekeren G
31 T. Bulut D
6 R. Schallenberg D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
7 P. Seguin M
14 J. Bachmann M
23 M. Aydın M
19 K. Karaman M
18 C. Antwi-Adjei M
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
15 E. Højlund
24 I. Hamache
17 A. Gantenbein
37 M. Grüger
1 R. Hoffmann
30 A. Donkor
26 T. Kalas
2 F. Sánchez
8 A. Younes

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-4-2-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
15 T. Oberdorf D
3 A. Hoffmann D
20 J. Siebert D
12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson M
31 M. Sobottka M
6 G. Haag M
19 E. Iyoha M
8 Í. Jóhannesson F
10 M. van Brederode F
24 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
18 J. Niemiec
25 M. Zimmermann
7 D. Pejčinović
5 J. Quarshie
21 T. Rossmann
23 S. Appelkamp
1 R. Kwasigroch
9 V. Vermeij
11 F. Klaus

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U ✓
3,52
B
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.