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Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
Ein Frankfurt
T U S T U
4–0
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
63%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
53%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,13 xG 0,36
46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 3. · RB Leipzig 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 23 6 2 +61 +52.7 75
2 Leverkusen 31 19 10 2 +31 +22.6 67
3 Ein Frankfurt 30 15 7 8 +16 +12.7 52
4 Freiburg 31 15 6 10 -3 +1.4 51
5 RB Leipzig 30 13 10 7 +10 -4.5 49
6 Dortmund 31 14 6 11 +11 +17.4 48
7 Mainz 31 13 8 10 +9 -1.2 47
8 Werder Bremen 30 13 6 11 -6 +1.2 45
9 M'gladbach 31 13 5 13 +1 -9.5 44
10 Augsburg 31 11 10 10 -9 -13.4 43
11 Stuttgart 31 11 8 12 +5 +8.9 41
12 Wolfsburg 31 10 9 12 +5 -3.2 39
13 Union Berlin 30 9 9 12 -12 -8.5 36
14 St Pauli 30 8 6 16 -10 -6.9 30
15 Hoffenheim 31 7 9 15 -18 -14.4 30
16 Heidenheim 31 7 4 20 -27 -15.0 25
17 Holstein Kiel 31 5 7 19 -29 -17.5 22
18 Bochum 30 4 6 20 -35 -22.8 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt RB Leipzig
-5′
🟨 David Raum
1–0 A. Knauff
H. Ekitiké
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Openda
↦ K. Nedeljković
50′
🟥 El Chadaille Bitshiabu
2–0 A. Knauff
53′
54′
🔁 A. Vermeeren
↦ C. Baumgartner
Nnamdi Collins 🟨
57′
3–0 H. Ekitiké
J. Bahoya
67′
70′
🟨 Lukas Klostermann
4–0 R. Koch
N. Brown
71′
O. Højlund 🔁
↦ J. Bahoya
75′
E. Wahi 🔁
↦ A. Knauff
75′
76′
🔁 A. Nusa
↦ B. Šeško
76′
🔁 T. Gomis
↦ X. Simons
A. Amenda 🔁
↦ A. Theate
81′
F. Chaïbi 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
82′
T. Chandler 🔁
↦ N. Collins
86′
86′
🔁 A. Haidara
↦ N. Seiwald
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
4 R. Koch D
3 A. Theate D
34 N. Collins M
15 E. Skhiri M
16 H. Larsson M
21 N. Brown M
36 A. Knauff F
19 J. Bahoya F
11 H. Ekitiké F
Bench (9)
6 O. Højlund
17 E. Wahi
5 A. Amenda
8 F. Chaïbi
22 T. Chandler
29 N. Nkounkou
30 M. Batshuayi
33 J. Grahl
20 C. Uzun

Coach: D. Toppmöller

RB Leipzig

3-5-1-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
3 L. Geertruida D
16 L. Klostermann D
5 E. Bitshiabu D
21 K. Nedeljković M
17 R. Baku M
13 N. Seiwald M
14 C. Baumgartner M
23 C. Lukeba M
10 X. Simons F
30 B. Šeško F
Bench (9)
11 L. Openda
18 A. Vermeeren
7 A. Nusa
27 T. Gomis
8 A. Haidara
25 L. Zingerle
44 K. Kampl
9 Y. Poulsen
22 D. Raum

Coach: Z. Löw

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,84
B
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.