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Premiership

Referee: R Hardie

Hearts

T S T T U

0–1

Full-time

Dundee

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

55%

73%

Both score Ø 63%

55%

70%

Average goals

2,6

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 7. · Dundee 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	34	27	3	4	+80	84
2	Rangers	33	20	6	7	+33	66
3	Hibernian	33	14	11	8	+13	53
4	Aberdeen	33	14	8	11	-4	50
5	Dundee United	34	14	8	12	-4	50
6	St Mirren	33	12	5	16	-9	41
7	Hearts	33	11	7	15	-1	40
8	Motherwell	33	11	6	16	-19	39
9	Kilmarnock	33	9	8	16	-20	35
10	Ross County	33	9	8	16	-23	35
11	Dundee	33	9	7	17	-21	34
12	ST Johnstone	33	8	5	20	-25	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	15	1	1	+51	46
2	Rangers	16	12	1	3	+26	37
3	Hibernian	17	9	5	3	+14	32
4	Aberdeen	17	9	4	4	+8	31
5	Kilmarnock	16	7	5	4	+5	26
6	Hearts	16	7	3	6	+4	24
7	St Mirren	17	7	3	7	+2	24
8	Dundee United	17	7	3	7	-3	24
9	Motherwell	16	6	5	5	-4	23
10	Ross County	17	5	5	7	-4	20
11	Dundee	17	5	4	8	-4	19
12	ST Johnstone	16	5	2	9	-8	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	17	12	2	3	+29	38
2	Rangers	17	8	5	4	+7	29
3	Dundee United	17	7	5	5	-1	26
4	Hibernian	16	5	6	5	-1	21
5	Aberdeen	16	5	4	7	-12	19
6	St Mirren	16	5	2	9	-11	17
7	Hearts	17	4	4	9	-5	16
8	Motherwell	17	5	1	11	-15	16
9	Dundee	16	4	3	9	-17	15
10	Ross County	16	4	3	9	-19	15
11	ST Johnstone	17	3	3	11	-17	12
12	Kilmarnock	17	2	3	12	-25	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.