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Championship
Referee: A Kitchen
Cardiff
U U T T U
0–0
Full-time
West Brom
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 44/44 matches
Win Ø 26%
20%
32%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
36%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,42 xG 1,47
48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 23. · West Brom 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Burnley 45 27 16 2 +51 +20.1 97
2 Leeds 44 27 13 4 +60 +53.7 94
3 Sheffield United 42 26 6 10 +25 +15.2 84
4 Sunderland 41 21 12 8 +21 +12.4 75
5 Bristol City 42 17 15 10 +9 +3.8 66
6 Middlesbrough 44 18 9 17 +10 +10.8 63
7 Millwall 44 17 12 15 -1 +3.1 63
8 Blackburn 44 18 8 18 +4 -2.1 62
9 Coventry 43 18 8 17 +1 +15.1 62
10 West Brom 44 14 18 12 +8 +10.9 60
11 Swansea 44 17 9 18 -4 +2.1 60
12 Watford 44 16 8 20 -7 -9.8 56
13 Sheffield Weds 44 15 11 18 -9 -1.1 56
14 Norwich 44 13 14 17 +1 +7.9 53
15 QPR 45 13 14 18 -11 -8.3 53
16 Portsmouth 44 14 10 20 -13 -9.9 52
17 Stoke 45 12 14 19 -17 -19.8 50
18 Preston 44 10 19 15 -10 -6.9 49
19 Oxford 44 12 13 19 -18 -26.6 49
20 Luton 45 13 10 22 -22 -5.3 49
21 Hull 44 12 12 20 -9 -5.4 48
22 Derby 44 12 10 22 -9 -6.4 46
23 Cardiff 44 9 16 19 -23 -14.6 43
24 Plymouth 44 10 13 21 -37 -38.8 43

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff West Brom
Yousef Salech 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
J. Daland 🔁
↦ P. Ng
46′
65′
🔁 J. Wallace
↦ I. Price
W. Alves 🔁
↦ C. Willock
71′
J. Ralls 🔁
↦ D. Turnbull
71′
O. Tanner 🔁
↦ C. Ashford
78′
R. Colwill 🔁
↦ A. Robertson
78′
78′
🔁 D. Dike
↦ A. Armstrong
85′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ T. Fellows
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
1 E. Horvath G
38 P. Ng D
2 W. Fish D
12 C. Chambers D
11 C. O'Dowda D
35 A. Rinomhota M
14 D. Turnbull M
45 C. Ashford M
18 A. Robertson M
16 C. Willock M
22 Y. Salech F
Bench (9)
5 J. Daland
29 W. Alves
8 J. Ralls
32 O. Tanner
27 R. Colwill
41 M. Turner
4 D. Goutas
19 Y. Meïté
23 J. Bagan

Coach: A. Ramsey

West Brom

4-2-3-1
20 J. Griffiths G
2 D. Furlong D
5 K. Bartley D
14 T. Heggem D
4 C. Styles D
17 O. Diakité M
27 A. Mowatt M
31 T. Fellows M
21 I. Price M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant M
32 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
7 J. Wallace
12 D. Dike
22 M. Johnston
19 W. Lankshear
34 H. Whitwell
11 G. Diangana
6 S. Ajayi
3 M. Holgate
23 J. Wildsmith

Coach: J. Morrison

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,24
B
3,22
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kitchen · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.