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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Hearts
T U T S S
2–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 31%
36%
25%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
56%
61%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 7. · ST Johnstone 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 28 4 4 +82 88
2 Rangers 36 21 8 7 +37 71
3 Hibernian 36 15 11 10 +12 56
4 Aberdeen 36 15 8 13 -8 53
5 Dundee United 36 14 8 14 -8 50
6 St Mirren 36 14 6 16 -6 48
7 Hearts 36 13 7 16 +3 46
8 Motherwell 36 13 6 17 -20 45
9 Kilmarnock 36 12 8 16 -15 44
10 Dundee 37 10 8 19 -22 38
11 Ross County 37 9 9 19 -28 36
12 ST Johnstone 36 9 5 22 -27 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Feb -25 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–2 22. Dec -24 Hearts – ST Johnstone 2–1 2. Nov -24 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–2 7. Feb -24 ST Johnstone – Hearts 0–1 25. Nov -23 Hearts – ST Johnstone 1–0

Match report

Hearts ST Johnstone
0–1 B. Douglas ⚽
own goal
17′
1–1 A. Forrest ⚽
L. Shankland
31′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Sprangler
↦ S. Curtis
46′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ V. Griffith
56′
🟨 Taylor Steven
59′
🔁 U. Ikpeazu
↦ M. Kirk
59′
🔁 F. Franczak
↦ J. Holt
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
64′
Frankie Kent 🟨
71′
C. Nieuwenhof 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
71′
74′
⚽ G. Carey 1–2
90′
🟨 Barry Douglas
S. Kartum 🔁
↦ J. Grant
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-3-3
12 R. Fulton G
35 A. Forrester D
2 F. Kent D
4 C. Halkett D
18 H. Milne D
14 C. Devlin M
6 B. Baningime M
7 J. Grant M
17 A. Forrest F
9 L. Shankland F
20 Y. Dhanda F
Bench (9)
21 J. Wilson
8 C. Nieuwenhof
27 S. Kartum
19 E. Kabangu
37 M. Drammeh
3 S. Kingsley
28 Z. Clark
15 M. Steinwender
64 A. Osborne

Coach: L. Fox

ST Johnstone

4-4-2
1 A. Fisher G
37 S. Curtis D
4 D. Balodis D
30 B. Douglas D
19 T. Steven D
6 V. Griffith M
7 J. Holt M
44 E. Watt M
21 S. Duke-McKenna M
27 M. Kirk F
24 J. McPake F
Bench (9)
23 S. Sprangler
11 G. Carey
9 U. Ikpeazu
46 F. Franczak
10 N. Clark
29 B. Kimpioka
16 A. Sidibeh
20 R. Sinclair
17 M. Kucheriavyi

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
🔒
U
3,79
🔒
B
5,08
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,85
🔒
U2,5
1,93
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.