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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
St Mirren
U S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 40%
35%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
71%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Aberdeen 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 27 3 4 +80 84
2 Rangers 34 20 7 7 +33 67
3 Hibernian 34 14 11 9 +12 53
4 Aberdeen 34 15 8 11 -3 53
5 Dundee United 34 14 8 12 -4 50
6 St Mirren 34 12 6 16 -9 42
7 Motherwell 34 12 6 16 -18 42
8 Hearts 34 11 7 16 -2 40
9 Kilmarnock 34 10 8 16 -18 38
10 Dundee 34 10 7 17 -20 37
11 Ross County 34 9 8 17 -25 35
12 ST Johnstone 34 8 5 21 -26 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jan -25 Aberdeen – St Mirren 0–3 23. Nov -24 St Mirren – Aberdeen 2–1 11. Aug -24 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–1 2. Mar -24 St Mirren – Aberdeen 2–1 30. Dec -23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 0–3

Match report

St Mirren Aberdeen
13′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
Jonah Ayunga 🟨
17′
23′
🟨 Graeme Shinnie
27′
ℹ️ Jeppe Okkels
VAR: Goal cancelled
Killian Phillips 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
R. Idowu 🔁
↦ J. Ayunga
46′
Mikael Mandron 🟨
47′
55′
🔁 D. Polvara
↦ J. Okkels
55′
🔁 J. McGrath
↦ L. Clarkson
1–0 M. Mandron ⚽
M. O'Hara
60′
66′
🔁 Oday Dabbagh
↦ T. Keskinen
C. Boyd-Munce 🔁
↦ O. Smyth
67′
J. Scott 🔁
↦ M. OHara
79′
83′
🔁 P. Guèye
↦ A. Dorrington
83′
🔁 F. Boyd
↦ A. Palaversa
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
2 R. Alebiosu M
88 K. Phillips M
8 O. Smyth M
6 M. O'Hara M
24 D. John M
9 M. Mandron F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
12 R. Idowu
15 C. Boyd-Munce
14 J. Scott
19 O. Oseni
3 S. Tanser
27 P. Urminský
11 G. Kiltie
10 C. McMenamin
4 A. Iacovitti

Coach: S. Robinson

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 N. Devlin D
26 A. Dorrington D
5 M. Knoester D
4 G. Shinnie D
18 A. Palaversa M
10 L. Clarkson M
20 S. Morris M
81 T. Keskinen M
16 J. Okkels M
9 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
8 D. Polvara
7 J. McGrath
11 Oday Dabbagh
14 P. Guèye
30 F. Boyd
32 P. Ambrose
31 R. Doohan
3 J. MacKenzie
22 J. Milne

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B
2,67
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,86
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.