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Premiership

Referee: D Nicolson

Motherwell

T U S S T

3–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 35%

36%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

72%

44%

Both score Ø 54%

61%

47%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

24 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	36	28	4	4	+82	88
2	Rangers	36	21	8	7	+37	71
3	Hibernian	36	15	11	10	+12	56
4	Aberdeen	36	15	8	13	-8	53
5	Dundee United	36	14	8	14	-8	50
6	St Mirren	36	14	6	16	-6	48
7	Hearts	36	13	7	16	+3	46
8	Motherwell	36	13	6	17	-20	45
9	Kilmarnock	36	12	8	16	-15	44
10	Dundee	37	10	8	19	-22	38
11	Ross County	37	9	9	19	-28	36
12	ST Johnstone	36	9	5	22	-27	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	16	1	1	+53	49
2	Rangers	18	13	2	3	+30	41
3	Hibernian	18	10	5	3	+16	35
4	Aberdeen	18	10	4	4	+9	34
5	Kilmarnock	18	9	5	4	+8	32
6	St Mirren	19	8	4	7	+3	28
7	Hearts	18	8	3	7	+6	27
8	Motherwell	17	7	5	5	-3	26
9	Dundee United	18	7	3	8	-5	24
10	Dundee	19	5	5	9	-5	20
11	Ross County	18	5	5	8	-6	20
12	ST Johnstone	18	6	2	10	-9	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	12	3	3	+29	39
2	Rangers	18	8	6	4	+7	30
3	Dundee United	18	7	5	6	-3	26
4	Hibernian	18	5	6	7	-4	21
5	St Mirren	17	6	2	9	-9	20
6	Hearts	18	5	4	9	-3	19
7	Motherwell	19	6	1	12	-17	19
8	Aberdeen	18	5	4	9	-17	19
9	Dundee	18	5	3	10	-17	18
10	Ross County	19	4	4	11	-22	16
11	ST Johnstone	18	3	3	12	-18	12
12	Kilmarnock	18	3	3	12	-23	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.