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Premiership
Referee: C Scott
Dundee
S T U U T
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 11. · Motherwell 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 4 3 1 0 +6 +2.5 10
2 Hearts 4 3 1 0 +4 +0.8 10
3 Hibernian 3 1 2 0 +1 +1.1 5
4 Dundee United 3 1 1 1 +1 -1.0 4
5 Kilmarnock 4 0 4 0 +0 -0.1 4
6 Motherwell 4 0 4 0 +0 +1.8 4
7 Rangers 4 0 4 0 +0 -0.9 4
8 Falkirk 3 1 1 1 -1 -0.7 4
9 Livingston 4 1 1 2 -2 +0.6 4
10 St Mirren 4 0 3 1 -1 -1.5 3
11 Dundee 4 0 2 2 -3 -2.0 2
12 Aberdeen 3 0 0 3 -5 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Motherwell
Joe Westley 🟨
25′
33′
T. Maswanhise 0–1
E. Longelo
Half-time 0–1
C. Congreve 🔁
↦ J. Westley
46′
1–1 L. Graham
C. Congreve
48′
57′
🔁 S. O'Donnell
↦ J. Koutroumbis
57′
🔁 E. Just
↦ R. Charles-Cook
61′
🔁 D. E. Osong
↦ A. Stamatelopoulos
A. Hay 🔁
↦ T. Yogane
72′
78′
🔁 K. Balmer
↦ S. Welsh
79′
🔁 O. Priestman
↦ I. Said
Yan Dhanda 🟥
85′
89′
🟨 Emmanuel Longelo
I. Samuels 🔁
↦ F. Robertson
92′
C. Jones 🔁
↦ S. Murray
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dundee

3-5-2
1 J. McCracken G
4 R. Astley D
3 C. Robertson D
22 L. Graham D
7 D. Wright M
10 F. Robertson
48 E. Hamilton M
21 Y. Dhanda M
17 T. Yogane M
19 J. Westley F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
31 T. Carson
2 E. Ingram
5 B. Koumetio
9 E. Acquah
11 A. Hay
12 I. Samuels
20 C. Congreve
25 P. Galabov
28 C. Jones

Coach: Steven Pressley

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
13 C. Ward G
22 J. Koutroumbis D
4 L. Gordon D
57 S. Welsh D
45 E. Longelo D
12 L. Fadinger M
20 E. Watt M
18 T. Maswanhise M
90 I. Said M
77 R. Charles-Cook M
9 A. Stamatelopoulos F
Bench (9)
1 A. Oxborough
2 S. O'Donnell
5 K. Balmer
11 A. Halliday
21 E. Just
24 D. E. Osong
25 O. Priestman
28 L. Ross
42 R. McColm

Coach: Jens Berthel Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,65
U ✓
3,45
B
1,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Scott · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.