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Bundesliga
Referee: D Muckenhammer
2–1
Full-time
Mattersburg
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Mattersburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
3,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
23%
23%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
69%
77%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,1
2,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
21 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 8. · Mattersburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 13 11 2 0 +41 35
2 LASK 13 10 2 1 +20 32
3 Wolfsberger AC 13 8 3 2 +21 27
4 SK Rapid 14 7 3 4 +10 24
5 Sturm Graz 14 7 2 5 +7 23
6 Hartberg 14 6 3 5 -1 21
7 St. Polten 14 3 4 7 -22 13
8 Austria Vienna 13 3 3 7 -9 12
9 Tirol 14 3 3 8 -15 12
10 Altach 14 3 1 10 -13 10
11 Mattersburg 13 3 1 9 -21 10
12 Admira 13 2 3 8 -18 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna Mattersburg
1–0 Alexander Grünwald
14′
28′
🟨 Patrick Salomon
Michael Madl 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Thomas Ebner
Erik Palmer-Brown
50′
55′
🔁 Christoph Halper
↦ Alois Höller
64′
🔁 Patrick Bürger
↦ Philipp Erhardt
77′
Patrick Bürger 2–1
Patrick Salomon
Dominik Prokop 🔁
↦ Maximilian Sax
79′
Tarkan Serbest 🔁
↦ James Jeggo
83′
84′
🔁 Victor Olatunji
↦ Andreas Kuen
Bright Edomwonyi 🔁
↦ Christoph Monschein
88′
Bright Edomwonyi 🟨
89′
Alexander Grünwald 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

4-2-3-1
13 Ivan Lučić G
17 Florian Klein D
23 Erik Palmer-Brown D
30 Michael Madl D
24 Alexandar Borković D
27 Thomas Ebner M
4 James Jeggo M
7 Maximilian Sax M
10 Alexander Grünwald M
39 Manprit Sarkaria M
14 Christoph Monschein F
Bench (7)
32 Patrick Pentz
28 Christoph Martschinko
36 Dominik Fitz
15 Tarkan Serbest
16 Dominik Prokop
20 Bright Edomwonyi
26 Alon Turgeman

Coach: C. Ilzer

Mattersburg

4-1-3-2
1 Markus Kuster G
8 Alois Höller D
31 Thorsten Mahrer D
18 Lukas Rath D
5 Michael Lercher D
10 Jano M
12 Florian Hart M
21 Patrick Salomon M
6 Philipp Erhardt M
9 Marko Kvasina F
30 Andreas Kuen F
Bench (7)
13 Tino Casali
4 Nedeljko Malić
7 Fabian Miesenböck
23 Julius Ertlthaler
14 Christoph Halper
33 Patrick Bürger
20 Victor Olatunji

Coach: F. Ponweiser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Muckenhammer · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.